| date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp | |
| 2026-06-14,Lula,49.5,39,10.5 | |
| 2026-06-14,Flávio Bolsonaro,26.65,29,-2.35 | |
| 2026-06-14,Renan Santos,14.65,3,11.65 | |
| 2026-06-14,Ronaldo Caiado,1.35,3,-1.65 | |
| 2026-06-14,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15 | |
| 2026-06-14,Romeu Zema,1.95,2,-0.05 | |
| 2026-06-14,Fernando Haddad,2.05,0,2.05 | |