| date,candidate,polymarket_pct,poll_pct,divergence_pp | |
| 2026-07-13,Lula,60.5,46,14.5 | |
| 2026-07-13,Flávio Bolsonaro,23.85,37,-13.15 | |
| 2026-07-13,Renan Santos,10.05,4,6.05 | |
| 2026-07-13,Ronaldo Caiado,1.45,5,-3.55 | |
| 2026-07-13,Tarcísio,0.15,0,0.15 | |
| 2026-07-13,Romeu Zema,0.85,3,-2.15 | |
| 2026-07-13,Fernando Haddad,0.75,0,0.75 | |