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AFOS-Analytics1
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brazil-2026-electoral-divergence

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Portuguese
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Tags:
elections
brazil
prediction-markets
polls
political-risk
divergence
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7
AFOS-Analytics1 commited on
Commit
8dfd07e
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verified ·
1 Parent(s): 9942ef7

daily mirror — 13/07/2026

Browse files
Files changed (5) hide show
  1. data/poll-divergence.csv +87 -87
  2. polls/national-polls.json +0 -0
  3. polls/sample-demographics.csv +187 -0
  4. polls/tse-registry.csv +0 -0
  5. polls/tse-registry.json +0 -0
data/poll-divergence.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,88 +1,88 @@
1
  poll_id,register_tse,institute,poll_date,field_midpoint,days_to_first_round,scenario,candidate,poll_pct,polymarket_pct,polymarket_date,naive_gap_pp,gap_type
2
- BR-03627/2026,,Real Time Big Data,2026-05-05,,152,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,40,37.5,2026-04-30,-2.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
3
- BR-03627/2026,,Real Time Big Data,2026-05-05,,152,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,34,43,2026-04-30,9,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
4
- BR-03627/2026,,Real Time Big Data,2026-05-05,,152,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,5,1.65,2026-04-30,-3.35,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
5
- BR-03627/2026,,Real Time Big Data,2026-05-05,,152,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,4,4.7,2026-04-30,0.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
6
- BR-03627/2026,,Real Time Big Data,2026-05-05,,152,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,3,5.65,2026-04-30,2.65,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
7
- Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-07,,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-07,,150,Cenário SP (1º turno),Flávio,39.3,43,2026-04-30,3.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
8
- Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-07,,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-07,,150,Cenário SP (1º turno),Lula,36,37.5,2026-04-30,1.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
9
- Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-08,,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-08,,149,Cenário MT (1º turno),Flávio,44.6,43,2026-04-30,-1.6,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
10
- Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-08,,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-08,,149,Cenário MT (1º turno),Lula,29.8,37.5,2026-04-30,7.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
11
- Quaest/Genial-2026-05-13,,Quaest/Genial,2026-05-13,,144,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,39,45.5,2026-05-13,6.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
12
- Quaest/Genial-2026-05-13,,Quaest/Genial,2026-05-13,,144,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,33,28.45,2026-05-13,-4.55,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
13
- Quaest/Genial-2026-05-13,,Quaest/Genial,2026-05-13,,144,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,4,1.25,2026-05-13,-2.75,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
14
- Quaest/Genial-2026-05-13,,Quaest/Genial,2026-05-13,,144,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,4,12,2026-05-13,8,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
15
- BR-00290/2026,,Datafolha,2026-05-15,,142,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,39,42.5,2026-05-15,3.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
16
- BR-00290/2026,,Datafolha,2026-05-15,,142,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,35,33.35,2026-05-15,-1.65,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
17
- AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,,138,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,47,44.5,2026-05-19,-2.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
18
- AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,,138,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,34.3,31.3,2026-05-19,-3,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
19
- Vox Brasil-2026-05-20,,Vox Brasil,2026-05-20,,137,Cenário Principal (2º turno),Lula,46.8,44.5,2026-05-19,-2.3,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
20
- Vox Brasil-2026-05-20,,Vox Brasil,2026-05-20,,137,Cenário Principal (2º turno),Flávio,38.1,31.3,2026-05-19,-6.8,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
21
- Datafolha-2026-05-22,,Datafolha,2026-05-22,,135,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,40,45.5,2026-05-22,5.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
22
- Datafolha-2026-05-22,,Datafolha,2026-05-22,,135,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,31,28.05,2026-05-22,-2.95,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
23
- Indexa Pesquisas-2026-05-27,,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-05-27,,130,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,39,40.5,2026-05-27,1.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
24
- Indexa Pesquisas-2026-05-27,,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-05-27,,130,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,30,28.75,2026-05-27,-1.25,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
25
- BR-02918/2026,,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,,129,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,38.5,41.5,2026-05-28,3,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
26
- BR-02918/2026,,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,,129,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,31.5,28.65,2026-05-28,-2.85,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
27
- BR-02918/2026,,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,,129,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,5.5,1.45,2026-05-28,-4.05,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
28
- BR-02918/2026,,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,,129,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,2.4,2.85,2026-05-28,0.45,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
29
- BR-02918/2026,,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,,129,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,2.1,15.05,2026-05-28,12.95,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
30
- BR-05864/2026,,Real Time Big Data,2026-06-01,,125,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,38,40.5,2026-06-01,2.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
31
- BR-05864/2026,,Real Time Big Data,2026-06-01,,125,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,31,29.2,2026-06-01,-1.8,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
32
- BR-05864/2026,,Real Time Big Data,2026-06-01,,125,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,6,2.6,2026-06-01,-3.4,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
33
- BR-05864/2026,,Real Time Big Data,2026-06-01,,125,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,6,16.8,2026-06-01,10.8,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
34
- BR-05864/2026,,Real Time Big Data,2026-06-01,,125,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,4,2.8,2026-06-01,-1.2,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
35
- BR-08016/2026,,Vox Brasil,2026-06-05,,121,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,42.1,41.5,2026-06-05,-0.6,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
36
- BR-08016/2026,,Vox Brasil,2026-06-05,,121,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,33.6,28.2,2026-06-05,-5.4,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
37
- BR-08016/2026,,Vox Brasil,2026-06-05,,121,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,6.9,2.35,2026-06-05,-4.55,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
38
- Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,,116,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,39,44.5,2026-06-10,5.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
39
- Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,,116,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,29,28.65,2026-06-10,-0.35,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
40
- Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,,116,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,3,16.65,2026-06-10,13.65,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
41
- Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,,116,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,3,1.75,2026-06-10,-1.25,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
42
- Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,,116,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,2,1.85,2026-06-10,-0.15,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
43
- BR-06645/2026,,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-15,,111,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,42,51.5,2026-06-15,9.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
44
- BR-06645/2026,,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-15,,111,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,33,25.55,2026-06-15,-7.45,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
45
- BR-04256/2026,,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,,110,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,41.8,51.5,2026-06-16,9.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
46
- BR-04256/2026,,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,,110,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,28.2,25.35,2026-06-16,-2.85,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
47
- BR-04256/2026,,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,,110,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,4,1.95,2026-06-16,-2.05,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
48
- BR-04256/2026,,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,,110,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,2.8,1.35,2026-06-16,-1.45,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
49
- BR-04256/2026,,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,,110,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,2,14.05,2026-06-16,12.05,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
50
- BR-01461/2026,,Futura/Apex,2026-06-16,,110,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,41.6,51.5,2026-06-16,9.9,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
51
- BR-01461/2026,,Futura/Apex,2026-06-16,,110,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,34.1,25.35,2026-06-16,-8.75,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
52
- BR-09956/2026,,Datafolha,2026-06-20,,106,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,41,51.5,2026-06-20,10.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
53
- BR-09956/2026,,Datafolha,2026-06-20,,106,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,31,25.05,2026-06-20,-5.95,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
54
- BR-09956/2026,,Datafolha,2026-06-20,,106,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,3,2.25,2026-06-20,-0.75,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
55
- BR-09956/2026,,Datafolha,2026-06-20,,106,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,3,14.35,2026-06-20,11.35,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
56
- BR-09956/2026,,Datafolha,2026-06-20,,106,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,2,1.45,2026-06-20,-0.55,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
57
- Indexa Pesquisas-2026-06-23,,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-06-23,,103,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,42,53.5,2026-06-23,11.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
58
- Indexa Pesquisas-2026-06-23,,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-06-23,,103,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,31,25.55,2026-06-23,-5.45,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
59
- Gerp-2026-06-24,,Gerp,2026-06-24,,102,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,37,57.5,2026-06-24,20.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
60
- Gerp-2026-06-24,,Gerp,2026-06-24,,102,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,34,22.9,2026-06-24,-11.1,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
61
- PoderData/Aya-2026-06-25,,PoderData/Aya,2026-06-25,,101,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,40,56.5,2026-06-25,16.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
62
- PoderData/Aya-2026-06-25,,PoderData/Aya,2026-06-25,,101,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,36,23.45,2026-06-25,-12.55,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
63
- PoderData/Aya-2026-06-25,,PoderData/Aya,2026-06-25,,101,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,4,11.45,2026-06-25,7.45,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
64
- PoderData/Aya-2026-06-25,,PoderData/Aya,2026-06-25,,101,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,4,1.65,2026-06-25,-2.35,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
65
- Vox Brasil-2026-06-27,,Vox Brasil,2026-06-27,,99,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,38.3,56.5,2026-06-27,18.2,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
66
- Vox Brasil-2026-06-27,,Vox Brasil,2026-06-27,,99,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,32.2,22.15,2026-06-27,-10.05,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
67
- BR-08521/2026,,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,,97,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,42,56.5,2026-06-29,14.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
68
- BR-08521/2026,,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,,97,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,34,23.55,2026-06-29,-10.45,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
69
- BR-08521/2026,,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,,97,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,5,1.25,2026-06-29,-3.75,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
70
- BR-08521/2026,,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,,97,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,4,12.55,2026-06-29,8.55,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
71
- BR-08521/2026,,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,,97,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,3,1.2,2026-06-29,-1.8,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
72
- BR-04582/2026,,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,,95,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,46.3,57.5,2026-07-01,11.2,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
73
- BR-04582/2026,,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,,95,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,36.6,22.95,2026-07-01,-13.65,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
74
- BR-05628/2026,,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,,88,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,40.4,61.5,2026-07-08,21.1,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
75
- BR-05628/2026,,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,,88,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,32,22.45,2026-07-08,-9.55,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
76
- BR-05628/2026,,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,,88,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,4,1.35,2026-07-08,-2.65,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
77
- BR-05628/2026,,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,,88,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,2.5,0.95,2026-07-08,-1.55,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
78
- BR-05628/2026,,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,,88,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,2,9.65,2026-07-08,7.65,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
79
- BR-03067/2026,,Gerp,2026-07-08,,88,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,36,61.5,2026-07-08,25.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
80
- BR-03067/2026,,Gerp,2026-07-08,,88,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,36,22.45,2026-07-08,-13.55,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
81
- BR-03067/2026,,Gerp,2026-07-08,,88,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,4,1.35,2026-07-08,-2.65,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
82
- BR-03067/2026,,Gerp,2026-07-08,,88,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,2,9.65,2026-07-08,7.65,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
83
- BR-03067/2026,,Gerp,2026-07-08,,88,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,2,0.95,2026-07-08,-1.05,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
84
- BR-07981/2026,,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,,83,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,40,60.5,2026-07-13,20.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
85
- BR-07981/2026,,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,,83,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,34,23.85,2026-07-13,-10.15,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
86
- BR-07981/2026,,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,,83,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,5,1.45,2026-07-13,-3.55,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
87
- BR-07981/2026,,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,,83,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,4,10.05,2026-07-13,6.05,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
88
- BR-07981/2026,,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,,83,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,4,0.95,2026-07-11,-3.05,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
 
1
  poll_id,register_tse,institute,poll_date,field_midpoint,days_to_first_round,scenario,candidate,poll_pct,polymarket_pct,polymarket_date,naive_gap_pp,gap_type
2
+ BR-03627/2026,BR036272026,Real Time Big Data,2026-05-05,2026-05-03,154,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,40,37.5,2026-04-30,-2.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
3
+ BR-03627/2026,BR036272026,Real Time Big Data,2026-05-05,2026-05-03,154,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,34,43,2026-04-30,9,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
4
+ BR-03627/2026,BR036272026,Real Time Big Data,2026-05-05,2026-05-03,154,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,5,1.65,2026-04-30,-3.35,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
5
+ BR-03627/2026,BR036272026,Real Time Big Data,2026-05-05,2026-05-03,154,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,4,4.7,2026-04-30,0.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
6
+ BR-03627/2026,BR036272026,Real Time Big Data,2026-05-05,2026-05-03,154,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,3,5.65,2026-04-30,2.65,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
7
+ Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-07,BR043152026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-07,2026-05-09,148,Cenário SP (1º turno),Flávio,39.3,43,2026-04-30,3.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
8
+ Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-07,BR043152026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-07,2026-05-09,148,Cenário SP (1º turno),Lula,36,37.5,2026-04-30,1.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
9
+ Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-08,BR043152026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-08,2026-05-09,148,Cenário MT (1º turno),Flávio,44.6,43,2026-04-30,-1.6,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
10
+ Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-08,BR043152026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-08,2026-05-09,148,Cenário MT (1º turno),Lula,29.8,37.5,2026-04-30,7.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
11
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-05-13,BR035982026,Quaest/Genial,2026-05-13,2026-05-09,148,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,39,37.5,2026-04-30,-1.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
12
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-05-13,BR035982026,Quaest/Genial,2026-05-13,2026-05-09,148,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,33,43,2026-04-30,10,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
13
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-05-13,BR035982026,Quaest/Genial,2026-05-13,2026-05-09,148,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,4,1.65,2026-04-30,-2.35,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
14
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-05-13,BR035982026,Quaest/Genial,2026-05-13,2026-05-09,148,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,4,4.7,2026-04-30,0.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
15
+ BR-00290/2026,BR002902026,Datafolha,2026-05-15,2026-05-13,144,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,39,45.5,2026-05-13,6.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
16
+ BR-00290/2026,BR002902026,Datafolha,2026-05-15,2026-05-13,144,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,35,28.45,2026-05-13,-6.55,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
17
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,142,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,47,42.5,2026-05-15,-4.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
18
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,142,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,34.3,33.35,2026-05-15,-0.95,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
19
+ Vox Brasil-2026-05-20,BR024162026,Vox Brasil,2026-05-20,2026-05-18,139,Cenário Principal (2º turno),Lula,46.8,44.5,2026-05-17,-2.3,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
20
+ Vox Brasil-2026-05-20,BR024162026,Vox Brasil,2026-05-20,2026-05-18,139,Cenário Principal (2º turno),Flávio,38.1,31.3,2026-05-17,-6.8,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
21
+ Datafolha-2026-05-22,BR074892026,Datafolha,2026-05-22,2026-05-21,136,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,40,45.5,2026-05-21,5.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
22
+ Datafolha-2026-05-22,BR074892026,Datafolha,2026-05-22,2026-05-21,136,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,31,24.75,2026-05-21,-6.25,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
23
+ Indexa Pesquisas-2026-05-27,BR021542026,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-05-27,2026-05-23,134,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,39,45.5,2026-05-23,6.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
24
+ Indexa Pesquisas-2026-05-27,BR021542026,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-05-27,2026-05-23,134,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,30,27.75,2026-05-23,-2.25,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
25
+ BR-02918/2026,BR029182026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,2026-05-25,132,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,38.5,39.5,2026-05-25,1,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
26
+ BR-02918/2026,BR029182026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,2026-05-25,132,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,31.5,27.65,2026-05-25,-3.85,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
27
+ BR-02918/2026,BR029182026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,2026-05-25,132,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,5.5,1.65,2026-05-25,-3.85,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
28
+ BR-02918/2026,BR029182026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,2026-05-25,132,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,2.4,4.75,2026-05-25,2.35,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
29
+ BR-02918/2026,BR029182026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,2026-05-25,132,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,2.1,13.05,2026-05-25,10.95,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
30
+ BR-05864/2026,BR058642026,Real Time Big Data,2026-06-01,2026-05-29,128,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,38,40.5,2026-05-29,2.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
31
+ BR-05864/2026,BR058642026,Real Time Big Data,2026-06-01,2026-05-29,128,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,31,28.65,2026-05-29,-2.35,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
32
+ BR-05864/2026,BR058642026,Real Time Big Data,2026-06-01,2026-05-29,128,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,6,1.35,2026-05-29,-4.65,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
33
+ BR-05864/2026,BR058642026,Real Time Big Data,2026-06-01,2026-05-29,128,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,6,15.6,2026-05-29,9.6,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
34
+ BR-05864/2026,BR058642026,Real Time Big Data,2026-06-01,2026-05-29,128,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,4,2.75,2026-05-29,-1.25,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
35
+ BR-08016/2026,BR080162026,Vox Brasil,2026-06-05,2026-06-02,124,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,42.1,39.5,2026-06-02,-2.6,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
36
+ BR-08016/2026,BR080162026,Vox Brasil,2026-06-05,2026-06-02,124,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,33.6,33.4,2026-06-02,-0.2,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
37
+ BR-08016/2026,BR080162026,Vox Brasil,2026-06-05,2026-06-02,124,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,6.9,2,2026-06-02,-4.9,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
38
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,BR076612026,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,2026-06-06,120,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,39,40.5,2026-06-06,1.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
39
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,BR076612026,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,2026-06-06,120,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,29,28.15,2026-06-06,-0.85,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
40
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,BR076612026,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,2026-06-06,120,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,3,16.7,2026-06-06,13.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
41
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,BR076612026,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,2026-06-06,120,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,3,1.95,2026-06-06,-1.05,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
42
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,BR076612026,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,2026-06-06,120,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,2,3.05,2026-06-06,1.05,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
43
+ BR-06645/2026,BR066452026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-15,2026-06-13,113,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,42,49.5,2026-06-13,7.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
44
+ BR-06645/2026,BR066452026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-15,2026-06-13,113,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,33,26.55,2026-06-13,-6.45,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
45
+ BR-04256/2026,BR042562026,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,2026-06-12,114,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,41.8,47.5,2026-06-12,5.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
46
+ BR-04256/2026,BR042562026,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,2026-06-12,114,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,28.2,26.5,2026-06-12,-1.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
47
+ BR-04256/2026,BR042562026,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,2026-06-12,114,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,4,1.6,2026-06-12,-2.4,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
48
+ BR-04256/2026,BR042562026,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,2026-06-12,114,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,2.8,1.2,2026-06-12,-1.6,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
49
+ BR-04256/2026,BR042562026,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,2026-06-12,114,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,2,13.7,2026-06-12,11.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
50
+ BR-01461/2026,BR014612026,Futura/Apex,2026-06-16,2026-06-10,116,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,41.6,44.5,2026-06-10,2.9,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
51
+ BR-01461/2026,BR014612026,Futura/Apex,2026-06-16,2026-06-10,116,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,34.1,28.65,2026-06-10,-5.45,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
52
+ BR-09956/2026,BR099562026,Datafolha,2026-06-20,2026-06-18,108,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,41,50.5,2026-06-18,9.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
53
+ BR-09956/2026,BR099562026,Datafolha,2026-06-20,2026-06-18,108,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,31,25.95,2026-06-18,-5.05,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
54
+ BR-09956/2026,BR099562026,Datafolha,2026-06-20,2026-06-18,108,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,3,2.2,2026-06-18,-0.8,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
55
+ BR-09956/2026,BR099562026,Datafolha,2026-06-20,2026-06-18,108,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,3,14.55,2026-06-18,11.55,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
56
+ BR-09956/2026,BR099562026,Datafolha,2026-06-20,2026-06-18,108,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,2,1.45,2026-06-18,-0.55,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
57
+ Indexa Pesquisas-2026-06-23,BR089442026,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-06-23,2026-06-19,107,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,42,51.5,2026-06-19,9.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
58
+ Indexa Pesquisas-2026-06-23,BR089442026,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-06-23,2026-06-19,107,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,31,25.75,2026-06-19,-5.25,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
59
+ Gerp-2026-06-24,BR096572026,Gerp,2026-06-24,2026-06-17,109,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,37,50.5,2026-06-17,13.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
60
+ Gerp-2026-06-24,BR096572026,Gerp,2026-06-24,2026-06-17,109,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,34,24.05,2026-06-17,-9.95,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
61
+ PoderData/Aya-2026-06-25,BR057222026,PoderData/Aya,2026-06-25,2026-06-22,104,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,40,55.5,2026-06-22,15.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
62
+ PoderData/Aya-2026-06-25,BR057222026,PoderData/Aya,2026-06-25,2026-06-22,104,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,36,23.75,2026-06-22,-12.25,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
63
+ PoderData/Aya-2026-06-25,BR057222026,PoderData/Aya,2026-06-25,2026-06-22,104,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,4,13.7,2026-06-22,9.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
64
+ PoderData/Aya-2026-06-25,BR057222026,PoderData/Aya,2026-06-25,2026-06-22,104,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,4,1.55,2026-06-22,-2.45,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
65
+ Vox Brasil-2026-06-27,BR066302026,Vox Brasil,2026-06-27,2026-06-24,102,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,38.3,57.5,2026-06-24,19.2,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
66
+ Vox Brasil-2026-06-27,BR066302026,Vox Brasil,2026-06-27,2026-06-24,102,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,32.2,22.9,2026-06-24,-9.3,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
67
+ BR-08521/2026,BR085212026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,2026-06-27,99,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,42,56.5,2026-06-27,14.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
68
+ BR-08521/2026,BR085212026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,2026-06-27,99,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,34,22.15,2026-06-27,-11.85,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
69
+ BR-08521/2026,BR085212026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,2026-06-27,99,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,5,1.3,2026-06-27,-3.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
70
+ BR-08521/2026,BR085212026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,2026-06-27,99,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,4,11.65,2026-06-27,7.65,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
71
+ BR-08521/2026,BR085212026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,2026-06-27,99,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,3,1.25,2026-06-27,-1.75,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
72
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,99,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,46.3,56.5,2026-06-27,10.2,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
73
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,99,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,36.6,22.15,2026-06-27,-14.45,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
74
+ BR-05628/2026,BR056282026,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,2026-07-04,92,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,40.4,60.5,2026-07-04,20.1,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
75
+ BR-05628/2026,BR056282026,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,2026-07-04,92,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,32,22.4,2026-07-04,-9.6,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
76
+ BR-05628/2026,BR056282026,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,2026-07-04,92,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,4,1.05,2026-07-04,-2.95,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
77
+ BR-05628/2026,BR056282026,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,2026-07-04,92,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,2.5,1.05,2026-07-04,-1.45,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
78
+ BR-05628/2026,BR056282026,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,2026-07-04,92,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,2,9.95,2026-07-04,7.95,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
79
+ BR-03067/2026,BR030672026,Gerp,2026-07-08,2026-07-05,91,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,36,60.5,2026-07-05,24.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
80
+ BR-03067/2026,BR030672026,Gerp,2026-07-08,2026-07-05,91,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,36,22.3,2026-07-05,-13.7,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
81
+ BR-03067/2026,BR030672026,Gerp,2026-07-08,2026-07-05,91,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,4,1.05,2026-07-05,-2.95,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
82
+ BR-03067/2026,BR030672026,Gerp,2026-07-08,2026-07-05,91,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,2,9.85,2026-07-05,7.85,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
83
+ BR-03067/2026,BR030672026,Gerp,2026-07-08,2026-07-05,91,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,2,1.05,2026-07-05,-0.95,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
84
+ BR-07981/2026,BR079812026,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,2026-07-11,85,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Lula,40,60.5,2026-07-11,20.5,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
85
+ BR-07981/2026,BR079812026,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,2026-07-11,85,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Flávio,34,23.15,2026-07-11,-10.85,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
86
+ BR-07981/2026,BR079812026,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,2026-07-11,85,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Caiado,5,1.65,2026-07-11,-3.35,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
87
+ BR-07981/2026,BR079812026,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,2026-07-11,85,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Renan,4,11.35,2026-07-11,7.35,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
88
+ BR-07981/2026,BR079812026,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,2026-07-11,85,Cenário Principal (1º turno),Zema,4,0.95,2026-07-11,-3.05,naive_winprob_minus_voteshare
polls/national-polls.json CHANGED
The diff for this file is too large to render. See raw diff
 
polls/sample-demographics.csv CHANGED
@@ -1 +1,188 @@
1
  poll_id,register_tse,institute,poll_date,field_midpoint,dimension,category,pct,quota_detail_level
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
  poll_id,register_tse,institute,poll_date,field_midpoint,dimension,category,pct,quota_detail_level
2
+ Encomendada pela Record,BR093532026,Real Time Big Data/Record,2026-03-03,2026-03-01,sex,male,47.2,full_percentages
3
+ Encomendada pela Record,BR093532026,Real Time Big Data/Record,2026-03-03,2026-03-01,sex,female,52.8,full_percentages
4
+ Encomendada pela Record,BR093532026,Real Time Big Data/Record,2026-03-03,2026-03-01,age,16 anos,0.15,full_percentages
5
+ Encomendada pela Record,BR093532026,Real Time Big Data/Record,2026-03-03,2026-03-01,education,Analfabeto,3.6,full_percentages
6
+ Folha de S.Paulo,BR037152026,Datafolha,2026-03-07,2026-03-04,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
7
+ Folha de S.Paulo,BR037152026,Datafolha,2026-03-07,2026-03-04,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
8
+ Folha de S.Paulo,BR037152026,Datafolha,2026-03-07,2026-03-04,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
9
+ Folha de S.Paulo,BR037152026,Datafolha,2026-03-07,2026-03-04,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
10
+ Folha de S.Paulo,BR037152026,Datafolha,2026-03-07,2026-03-04,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
11
+ Genial Investimentos,BR029442026,Quaest/Genial Investimentos,2026-03-11,2026-03-08,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
12
+ Genial Investimentos,BR029442026,Quaest/Genial Investimentos,2026-03-11,2026-03-08,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
13
+ Genial Investimentos,BR029442026,Quaest/Genial Investimentos,2026-03-11,2026-03-08,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
14
+ Genial Investimentos,BR029442026,Quaest/Genial Investimentos,2026-03-11,2026-03-08,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
15
+ Genial Investimentos,BR029442026,Quaest/Genial Investimentos,2026-03-11,2026-03-08,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
16
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,sex,male,47.2,full_percentages
17
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,sex,female,52.8,full_percentages
18
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,age,Entre 16 a 24 anos,11.9,full_percentages
19
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,age,Entre 25 a 34 anos,19.3,full_percentages
20
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,age,Entre 35 a 44 anos,20.1,full_percentages
21
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,age,Entre 45 a 59 anos,25.5,full_percentages
22
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,age,60 ou mais,23.2,full_percentages
23
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,education,Ensino Fundamental completo ou incompleto e eleitores sem educação formal,33.8,full_percentages
24
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,education,Ensino Médio completo ou incompleto,40.7,full_percentages
25
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,education,Ensino Superior completo ou incompleto,25.5,full_percentages
26
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,income,Renda familiar mensal até R$2000,22.4,full_percentages
27
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,income,Mais de R$2.000 a R$3.000,17.1,full_percentages
28
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,income,Mais de R$3.000 a R$5.000,23.1,full_percentages
29
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,income,Mais de R$5.000 a R$10.000,23.9,full_percentages
30
+ BR-04227/2026,BR042272026,AtlasIntel/Bloomberg,2026-03-25,2026-03-20,income,Mais de R$10.000,13.5,full_percentages
31
+ AESP (Assoc. Emissoras SP),BR028462026,Gerp/AESP,2026-03-27,2026-03-24,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
32
+ AESP (Assoc. Emissoras SP),BR028462026,Gerp/AESP,2026-03-27,2026-03-24,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
33
+ AESP (Assoc. Emissoras SP),BR028462026,Gerp/AESP,2026-03-27,2026-03-24,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
34
+ BR-00873/2026,BR008732026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-03-30,2026-03-26,age,| Entre 25 e 34 anos,19,full_percentages
35
+ BR-00873/2026,BR008732026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-03-30,2026-03-26,age,| Entre 35 e 44 anos,20,full_percentages
36
+ BR-00873/2026,BR008732026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-03-30,2026-03-26,age,| Entre 45 e 59 anos,26,full_percentages
37
+ BR-00873/2026,BR008732026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-03-30,2026-03-26,age,| Com 60 anos ou mais,23,full_percentages
38
+ BR-00873/2026,BR008732026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-03-30,2026-03-26,education,| Ensino médio incompleto ou completo,45,full_percentages
39
+ BR-07875/2026,BR078752026,Nexus/BTG Pactual,2026-03-30,2026-03-28,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
40
+ BR-07875/2026,BR078752026,Nexus/BTG Pactual,2026-03-30,2026-03-28,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
41
+ BR-07875/2026,BR078752026,Nexus/BTG Pactual,2026-03-30,2026-03-28,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
42
+ BR-07875/2026,BR078752026,Nexus/BTG Pactual,2026-03-30,2026-03-28,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
43
+ BR-07875/2026,BR078752026,Nexus/BTG Pactual,2026-03-30,2026-03-28,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
44
+ BR-03627/2026,BR036272026,Real Time Big Data,2026-05-05,2026-05-03,sex,male,47.17,full_percentages
45
+ BR-03627/2026,BR036272026,Real Time Big Data,2026-05-05,2026-05-03,sex,female,52.83,full_percentages
46
+ BR-03627/2026,BR036272026,Real Time Big Data,2026-05-05,2026-05-03,age,16 anos,0.23,full_percentages
47
+ BR-03627/2026,BR036272026,Real Time Big Data,2026-05-05,2026-05-03,education,Analfabeto,3.54,full_percentages
48
+ Meio/Ideia-2026-05-06,BR053562026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-06,2026-05-03,sex,male,47,full_percentages
49
+ Meio/Ideia-2026-05-06,BR053562026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-06,2026-05-03,sex,female,53,full_percentages
50
+ Meio/Ideia-2026-05-06,BR053562026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-06,2026-05-03,education,Fundamental,38,full_percentages
51
+ Meio/Ideia-2026-05-06,BR053562026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-06,2026-05-03,education,Médio,40,full_percentages
52
+ Meio/Ideia-2026-05-06,BR053562026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-06,2026-05-03,income,Economicamente Ativo,62,full_percentages
53
+ Genial/Quaest-2026-05-06,BR035982026,Genial/Quaest,2026-05-06,2026-05-09,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
54
+ Genial/Quaest-2026-05-06,BR035982026,Genial/Quaest,2026-05-06,2026-05-09,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
55
+ Genial/Quaest-2026-05-06,BR035982026,Genial/Quaest,2026-05-06,2026-05-09,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
56
+ Genial/Quaest-2026-05-06,BR035982026,Genial/Quaest,2026-05-06,2026-05-09,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
57
+ Genial/Quaest-2026-05-06,BR035982026,Genial/Quaest,2026-05-06,2026-05-09,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
58
+ Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-07,BR043152026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-07,2026-05-09,age,| Entre 25 e 34 anos,19,full_percentages
59
+ Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-07,BR043152026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-07,2026-05-09,age,| Entre 35 e 44 anos,19,full_percentages
60
+ Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-07,BR043152026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-07,2026-05-09,age,| Entre 45 e 59 anos,26,full_percentages
61
+ Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-07,BR043152026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-07,2026-05-09,age,| Com 60 anos ou mais,25,full_percentages
62
+ Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-07,BR043152026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-07,2026-05-09,education,| Ensino médio incompleto ou completo,44,full_percentages
63
+ Quaest-2026-05-08,BR035982026,Quaest,2026-05-08,2026-05-09,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
64
+ Quaest-2026-05-08,BR035982026,Quaest,2026-05-08,2026-05-09,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
65
+ Quaest-2026-05-08,BR035982026,Quaest,2026-05-08,2026-05-09,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
66
+ Quaest-2026-05-08,BR035982026,Quaest,2026-05-08,2026-05-09,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
67
+ Quaest-2026-05-08,BR035982026,Quaest,2026-05-08,2026-05-09,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
68
+ Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-08,BR043152026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-08,2026-05-09,age,| Entre 25 e 34 anos,19,full_percentages
69
+ Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-08,BR043152026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-08,2026-05-09,age,| Entre 35 e 44 anos,19,full_percentages
70
+ Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-08,BR043152026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-08,2026-05-09,age,| Entre 45 e 59 anos,26,full_percentages
71
+ Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-08,BR043152026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-08,2026-05-09,age,| Com 60 anos ou mais,25,full_percentages
72
+ Paraná Pesquisas-2026-05-08,BR043152026,Paraná Pesquisas,2026-05-08,2026-05-09,education,| Ensino médio incompleto ou completo,44,full_percentages
73
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-05-13,BR035982026,Quaest/Genial,2026-05-13,2026-05-09,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
74
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-05-13,BR035982026,Quaest/Genial,2026-05-13,2026-05-09,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
75
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-05-13,BR035982026,Quaest/Genial,2026-05-13,2026-05-09,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
76
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-05-13,BR035982026,Quaest/Genial,2026-05-13,2026-05-09,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
77
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-05-13,BR035982026,Quaest/Genial,2026-05-13,2026-05-09,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
78
+ BR-00290/2026,BR002902026,Datafolha,2026-05-15,2026-05-13,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
79
+ BR-00290/2026,BR002902026,Datafolha,2026-05-15,2026-05-13,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
80
+ BR-00290/2026,BR002902026,Datafolha,2026-05-15,2026-05-13,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
81
+ BR-00290/2026,BR002902026,Datafolha,2026-05-15,2026-05-13,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
82
+ BR-00290/2026,BR002902026,Datafolha,2026-05-15,2026-05-13,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
83
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,sex,male,47.2,full_percentages
84
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,sex,female,52.8,full_percentages
85
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,age,Entre 16 a 24 anos,12.3,full_percentages
86
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,age,Entre 25 a 34 anos,19.1,full_percentages
87
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,age,Entre 35 a 44 anos,19.9,full_percentages
88
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,age,Entre 45 a 59 anos,25.5,full_percentages
89
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,age,60 ou mais,23.3,full_percentages
90
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,education,Ensino Fundamental completo ou incompleto e eleitores sem educação formal,33.8,full_percentages
91
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,education,Ensino Médio completo ou incompleto,40.7,full_percentages
92
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,education,Ensino Superior completo ou incompleto,25.5,full_percentages
93
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,income,Renda familiar mensal até R$2000,22.4,full_percentages
94
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,income,Mais de R$2.000 a R$3.000,17.1,full_percentages
95
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,income,Mais de R$3.000 a R$5.000,23.1,full_percentages
96
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,income,Mais de R$5.000 a R$10.000,23.9,full_percentages
97
+ AtlasIntel-2026-05-19,BR069392026,AtlasIntel,2026-05-19,2026-05-15,income,Mais de R$10.000,13.5,full_percentages
98
+ Vox Brasil-2026-05-20,BR024162026,Vox Brasil,2026-05-20,2026-05-18,sex,male,47.18,full_percentages
99
+ Vox Brasil-2026-05-20,BR024162026,Vox Brasil,2026-05-20,2026-05-18,sex,female,52.82,full_percentages
100
+ Datafolha-2026-05-22,BR074892026,Datafolha,2026-05-22,2026-05-21,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
101
+ Datafolha-2026-05-22,BR074892026,Datafolha,2026-05-22,2026-05-21,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
102
+ Datafolha-2026-05-22,BR074892026,Datafolha,2026-05-22,2026-05-21,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
103
+ Datafolha-2026-05-22,BR074892026,Datafolha,2026-05-22,2026-05-21,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
104
+ Datafolha-2026-05-22,BR074892026,Datafolha,2026-05-22,2026-05-21,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
105
+ Indexa Pesquisas-2026-05-27,BR021542026,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-05-27,2026-05-23,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
106
+ Indexa Pesquisas-2026-05-27,BR021542026,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-05-27,2026-05-23,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
107
+ Indexa Pesquisas-2026-05-27,BR021542026,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-05-27,2026-05-23,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
108
+ Indexa Pesquisas-2026-05-27,BR021542026,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-05-27,2026-05-23,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
109
+ Indexa Pesquisas-2026-05-27,BR021542026,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-05-27,2026-05-23,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
110
+ BR-02918/2026,BR029182026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,2026-05-25,sex,male,47,full_percentages
111
+ BR-02918/2026,BR029182026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,2026-05-25,sex,female,53,full_percentages
112
+ BR-02918/2026,BR029182026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,2026-05-25,education,Fundamental,38,full_percentages
113
+ BR-02918/2026,BR029182026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,2026-05-25,education,Médio,40,full_percentages
114
+ BR-02918/2026,BR029182026,Meio/Ideia,2026-05-28,2026-05-25,income,Economicamente Ativo,62,full_percentages
115
+ BR-05864/2026,BR058642026,Real Time Big Data,2026-06-01,2026-05-29,sex,male,47.18,full_percentages
116
+ BR-05864/2026,BR058642026,Real Time Big Data,2026-06-01,2026-05-29,sex,female,52.82,full_percentages
117
+ BR-05864/2026,BR058642026,Real Time Big Data,2026-06-01,2026-05-29,age,16 anos,0.34,full_percentages
118
+ BR-05864/2026,BR058642026,Real Time Big Data,2026-06-01,2026-05-29,education,Analfabeto,3.52,full_percentages
119
+ BR-08016/2026,BR080162026,Vox Brasil,2026-06-05,2026-06-02,sex,male,47.18,full_percentages
120
+ BR-08016/2026,BR080162026,Vox Brasil,2026-06-05,2026-06-02,sex,female,52.82,full_percentages
121
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,BR076612026,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,2026-06-06,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
122
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,BR076612026,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,2026-06-06,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
123
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,BR076612026,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,2026-06-06,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
124
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,BR076612026,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,2026-06-06,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
125
+ Quaest/Genial-2026-06-10,BR076612026,Quaest/Genial,2026-06-10,2026-06-06,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
126
+ BR-06645/2026,BR066452026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-15,2026-06-13,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
127
+ BR-06645/2026,BR066452026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-15,2026-06-13,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
128
+ BR-06645/2026,BR066452026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-15,2026-06-13,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
129
+ BR-06645/2026,BR066452026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-15,2026-06-13,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
130
+ BR-06645/2026,BR066452026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-15,2026-06-13,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
131
+ BR-04256/2026,BR042562026,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,2026-06-12,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
132
+ BR-04256/2026,BR042562026,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,2026-06-12,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
133
+ BR-04256/2026,BR042562026,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,2026-06-12,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
134
+ BR-04256/2026,BR042562026,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,2026-06-12,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
135
+ BR-04256/2026,BR042562026,CNT/MDA,2026-06-16,2026-06-12,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
136
+ BR-01461/2026,BR014612026,Futura/Apex,2026-06-16,2026-06-10,sex,male,47.1,full_percentages
137
+ BR-01461/2026,BR014612026,Futura/Apex,2026-06-16,2026-06-10,sex,female,52.9,full_percentages
138
+ BR-09956/2026,BR099562026,Datafolha,2026-06-20,2026-06-18,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
139
+ BR-09956/2026,BR099562026,Datafolha,2026-06-20,2026-06-18,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
140
+ BR-09956/2026,BR099562026,Datafolha,2026-06-20,2026-06-18,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
141
+ BR-09956/2026,BR099562026,Datafolha,2026-06-20,2026-06-18,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
142
+ BR-09956/2026,BR099562026,Datafolha,2026-06-20,2026-06-18,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
143
+ Indexa Pesquisas-2026-06-23,BR089442026,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-06-23,2026-06-19,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
144
+ Indexa Pesquisas-2026-06-23,BR089442026,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-06-23,2026-06-19,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
145
+ Indexa Pesquisas-2026-06-23,BR089442026,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-06-23,2026-06-19,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
146
+ Indexa Pesquisas-2026-06-23,BR089442026,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-06-23,2026-06-19,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
147
+ Indexa Pesquisas-2026-06-23,BR089442026,Indexa Pesquisas,2026-06-23,2026-06-19,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
148
+ Gerp-2026-06-24,BR096572026,Gerp,2026-06-24,2026-06-17,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
149
+ Gerp-2026-06-24,BR096572026,Gerp,2026-06-24,2026-06-17,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
150
+ Gerp-2026-06-24,BR096572026,Gerp,2026-06-24,2026-06-17,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
151
+ PoderData/Aya-2026-06-25,BR057222026,PoderData/Aya,2026-06-25,2026-06-22,sex,male,47.2,full_percentages
152
+ PoderData/Aya-2026-06-25,BR057222026,PoderData/Aya,2026-06-25,2026-06-22,sex,female,52.8,full_percentages
153
+ PoderData/Aya-2026-06-25,BR057222026,PoderData/Aya,2026-06-25,2026-06-22,income,Sem rendimentos até 2 SM,45.8,full_percentages
154
+ Vox Brasil-2026-06-27,BR066302026,Vox Brasil,2026-06-27,2026-06-24,sex,male,47.18,full_percentages
155
+ Vox Brasil-2026-06-27,BR066302026,Vox Brasil,2026-06-27,2026-06-24,sex,female,52.82,full_percentages
156
+ BR-08521/2026,BR085212026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,2026-06-27,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
157
+ BR-08521/2026,BR085212026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,2026-06-27,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
158
+ BR-08521/2026,BR085212026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,2026-06-27,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
159
+ BR-08521/2026,BR085212026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,2026-06-27,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
160
+ BR-08521/2026,BR085212026,BTG/Nexus,2026-06-29,2026-06-27,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
161
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,sex,male,47.2,full_percentages
162
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,sex,female,52.8,full_percentages
163
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,age,Entre 16 a 24 anos,12.6,full_percentages
164
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,age,Entre 25 a 34 anos,19,full_percentages
165
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,age,Entre 35 a 44 anos,19.8,full_percentages
166
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,age,Entre 45 a 59 anos,25.4,full_percentages
167
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,age,60 ou mais,23.1,full_percentages
168
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,education,Ensino Fundamental completo ou incompleto e eleitores sem educação formal,33.8,full_percentages
169
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,education,Ensino Médio completo ou incompleto,40.7,full_percentages
170
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,education,Ensino Superior completo ou incompleto,25.5,full_percentages
171
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,income,Renda familiar mensal até R$2000,22.4,full_percentages
172
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,income,Mais de R$2.000 a R$3.000,17.1,full_percentages
173
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,income,Mais de R$3.000 a R$5.000,23.1,full_percentages
174
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,income,Mais de R$5.000 a R$10.000,23.9,full_percentages
175
+ BR-04582/2026,BR045822026,AtlasIntel,2026-07-01,2026-06-27,income,Mais de R$10.000,13.5,full_percentages
176
+ BR-05628/2026,BR056282026,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,2026-07-04,sex,male,47,full_percentages
177
+ BR-05628/2026,BR056282026,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,2026-07-04,sex,female,53,full_percentages
178
+ BR-05628/2026,BR056282026,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,2026-07-04,education,Fundamental,38,full_percentages
179
+ BR-05628/2026,BR056282026,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,2026-07-04,education,Médio,40,full_percentages
180
+ BR-05628/2026,BR056282026,Ideia/Canal Meio,2026-07-08,2026-07-04,income,Economicamente Ativo,62,full_percentages
181
+ BR-03067/2026,BR030672026,Gerp,2026-07-08,2026-07-05,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
182
+ BR-03067/2026,BR030672026,Gerp,2026-07-08,2026-07-05,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
183
+ BR-03067/2026,BR030672026,Gerp,2026-07-08,2026-07-05,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
184
+ BR-07981/2026,BR079812026,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,2026-07-11,sex,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
185
+ BR-07981/2026,BR079812026,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,2026-07-11,age,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
186
+ BR-07981/2026,BR079812026,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,2026-07-11,education,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
187
+ BR-07981/2026,BR079812026,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,2026-07-11,income,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
188
+ BR-07981/2026,BR079812026,BTG/Nexus,2026-07-13,2026-07-11,region,"(declared, no % in registry)",,mentioned_no_pct
polls/tse-registry.csv CHANGED
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polls/tse-registry.json CHANGED
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