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113 values
arxiv:2610.18880
arxiv
Do Perturbation Predictors Learn Gene Interactions? Diagnosing Extrapolation in Agentic Screening
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.18880v1
2026-10-01T02:29:02Z
CC0-1.0
"Do Perturbation Predictors Learn Gene Interactions? Diagnosing Extrapolation in Agentic Screening", arXiv:2610.18880 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.18880v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Do Perturbation Predictors Learn Gene Interactions? Diagnosing Extrapolation in Agentic Screening High-throughput perturbation screens increasingly use machine-learning models to predict the effects of gene combinations that were never measured. A difficult case arises when both genes in a test pair were seen individu...
1,378
null
null
cs.LG
arxiv:2610.01078
arxiv
Molecular architecture of TE-seeded chromosome-naive initiation networks of protein-protein interactions delineates the Human Protein Map of the assembly of multiprotein complexes
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01078v1
2026-10-01T05:19:42Z
CC0-1.0
"Molecular architecture of TE-seeded chromosome-naive initiation networks of protein-protein interactions delineates the Human Protein Map of the assembly of multiprotein complexes", arXiv:2610.01078 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01078v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Molecular architecture of TE-seeded chromosome-naive initiation networks of protein-protein interactions delineates the Human Protein Map of the assembly of multiprotein complexes Upon binding to transposable elements seeded DNA, initiator transcription factors are poised to activate the hybrid assembly pathways (HAP)...
2,098
null
null
q-bio.BM
arxiv:2610.01086
arxiv
Multi-Scale Temporal Flows for Peptide Trajectory Generation
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01086v1
2026-10-01T05:29:38Z
CC0-1.0
"Multi-Scale Temporal Flows for Peptide Trajectory Generation", arXiv:2610.01086 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01086v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Multi-Scale Temporal Flows for Peptide Trajectory Generation Peptides occupy a particularly challenging regime of biomolecular dynamics. Short peptides lack a stable folded core and populate broad conformational ensembles, while cyclization adds ring closure, non-local residue coupling, and stereochemical diversity. D...
1,716
null
null
q-bio.BM
arxiv:2610.01142
arxiv
Protocol for Discovering Convergent Molecular Networks across Multi-Omics Datasets Using Network Propagation
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01142v1
2026-10-01T06:23:09Z
CC0-1.0
"Protocol for Discovering Convergent Molecular Networks across Multi-Omics Datasets Using Network Propagation", arXiv:2610.01142 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01142v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Protocol for Discovering Convergent Molecular Networks across Multi-Omics Datasets Using Network Propagation Phenotypic outcomes arise from coordinated changes across molecular layers. Although multi-omics data capture complementary molecular signals, integrating them into coherent biological mechanisms remains challe...
739
null
null
q-bio.MN
arxiv:2610.01348
arxiv
Verify Claims, Not Scores: Evidence-Based Verification of Modular Agents
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01348v1
2026-10-01T09:17:47Z
CC0-1.0
"Verify Claims, Not Scores: Evidence-Based Verification of Modular Agents", arXiv:2610.01348 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01348v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Verify Claims, Not Scores: Evidence-Based Verification of Modular Agents When developers change one component of an agent, such as its controller, a learned model or its verifier, they usually judge the change by an aggregate task score. That score cannot tell whether improvement was attainable, which component lost v...
1,730
null
null
cs.AI
arxiv:2610.01358
arxiv
Fold'EM: Direct atomic structure inference from Cryo-EM particles
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01358v2
2026-10-01T09:28:37Z
CC0-1.0
"Fold'EM: Direct atomic structure inference from Cryo-EM particles", arXiv:2610.01358 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01358v2), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Fold'EM: Direct atomic structure inference from Cryo-EM particles Single-particle cryo-electron microscopy (cryo-EM) has become a widely adopted technique for biomolecular structure determination. The conventional cryo-EM computational pipeline first combines many particle images to reconstruct an electrostatic potent...
1,987
null
null
q-bio.BM
arxiv:2610.01636
arxiv
Autocatalysis and Boundary Stability in Chemical Reaction Systems
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01636v1
2026-10-01T13:04:49Z
CC0-1.0
"Autocatalysis and Boundary Stability in Chemical Reaction Systems", arXiv:2610.01636 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01636v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Autocatalysis and Boundary Stability in Chemical Reaction Systems The next-generation matrix method is a powerful tool for computing the basic reproduction number in compartmental mathematical models of infectious diseases. The method has been recently extended to mathematical biochemistry, where it can be used to est...
1,331
null
null
math.DS
arxiv:2610.01891
arxiv
RipplePLM: Structural and Property Decoupling for Protein Mutation Effect Generation
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01891v2
2026-10-01T15:41:24Z
CC0-1.0
"RipplePLM: Structural and Property Decoupling for Protein Mutation Effect Generation", arXiv:2610.01891 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.01891v2), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
RipplePLM: Structural and Property Decoupling for Protein Mutation Effect Generation Protein mutation effect generation asks a model to describe the functional consequence of a point mutation in natural language. Existing protein-to-text systems typically encode mutation information into undifferentiated representatio...
1,660
null
null
cs.CE
arxiv:2610.02106
arxiv
Densities for scalar-valued BSDEs via unique continuation and backward uniqueness
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.02106v1
2026-10-01T17:29:40Z
CC0-1.0
"Densities for scalar-valued BSDEs via unique continuation and backward uniqueness", arXiv:2610.02106 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.02106v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Densities for scalar-valued BSDEs via unique continuation and backward uniqueness We give sufficient conditions ensuring that, at every fixed positive time, the scalar backward component of a Markovian forward-backward stochastic differential equation with multidimensional forward process admits a density with respect...
1,432
null
null
math.PR
arxiv:2610.02175
arxiv
Effective Resistance and Graph Neural Network Reliability in Tissue-Specific Interactomes
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.02175v1
2026-10-01T17:57:10Z
CC0-1.0
"Effective Resistance and Graph Neural Network Reliability in Tissue-Specific Interactomes", arXiv:2610.02175 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.02175v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Effective Resistance and Graph Neural Network Reliability in Tissue-Specific Interactomes Protein function annotation needs to know which predictions to distrust, not only what a model predicts. We ask whether tissue-specific interaction structure carries that information. Our candidate signal is effective resistance,...
1,247
null
null
cs.LG
arxiv:2610.03815
arxiv
GCTAg: scalable mixed-model analysis for biobank-scale agricultural cohorts
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03815v1
2026-10-01T18:32:38Z
CC0-1.0
"GCTAg: scalable mixed-model analysis for biobank-scale agricultural cohorts", arXiv:2610.03815 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03815v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
GCTAg: scalable mixed-model analysis for biobank-scale agricultural cohorts Genome-wide association studies identify genomic variants associated with traits. Mixed linear model association (MLMA) methods using a whole-genome relationship matrix, such as those implemented in GCTA, are powerful but computationally expen...
911
null
null
q-bio.GN
arxiv:2610.03157
arxiv
Uniqueness of Recursive Utility with Unbounded Consumption and Non-Expected Utility
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03157v1
2026-10-02T11:31:23Z
CC0-1.0
"Uniqueness of Recursive Utility with Unbounded Consumption and Non-Expected Utility", arXiv:2610.03157 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03157v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Uniqueness of Recursive Utility with Unbounded Consumption and Non-Expected Utility We derive sufficient conditions for the existence, non-existence, uniqueness and global attractivity of stochastic recursive utilities. Our approach uses abstract order-theoretic fixed-point arguments, allowing us to accommodate a larg...
1,200
null
null
econ.TH
arxiv:2610.03160
arxiv
Multimodal reasoning for broadly neutralizing antibody discovery from label-free human B cell repertoires across virus families
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03160v1
2026-10-02T11:35:34Z
CC0-1.0
"Multimodal reasoning for broadly neutralizing antibody discovery from label-free human B cell repertoires across virus families", arXiv:2610.03160 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03160v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Multimodal reasoning for broadly neutralizing antibody discovery from label-free human B cell repertoires across virus families Discovering broadly neutralizing antibodies (bnAbs) from human natural immune repertoires remains a fundamental challenge in immunology, hindered by: the extreme rarity of bnAb, incomplete un...
1,726
null
null
q-bio.QM
arxiv:2610.03161
arxiv
Landscape-Dependent Performance of Photonic Quantum Solvers in QUBO Feature Selection for Financial Risk Detection
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03161v1
2026-10-02T11:38:23Z
CC0-1.0
"Landscape-Dependent Performance of Photonic Quantum Solvers in QUBO Feature Selection for Financial Risk Detection", arXiv:2610.03161 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03161v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Landscape-Dependent Performance of Photonic Quantum Solvers in QUBO Feature Selection for Financial Risk Detection Feature selection for imbalanced classification tasks such as credit card fraud and consumer default detection requires balancing predictive relevance, inter-feature redundancy, and computational feasibil...
1,472
null
null
quant-ph
arxiv:2610.03314
arxiv
DAWIS: Data Assimilation with Windowed Inverse Sampling via Multitask Interpolants
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03314v1
2026-10-02T13:51:00Z
CC0-1.0
"DAWIS: Data Assimilation with Windowed Inverse Sampling via Multitask Interpolants", arXiv:2610.03314 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03314v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
DAWIS: Data Assimilation with Windowed Inverse Sampling via Multitask Interpolants Flow- and diffusion-based generative models have recently emerged as flexible and highly efficient forecasting models for dynamical systems. When combined with inference-time guidance, they offer a promising route to high-dimensional no...
1,678
null
null
stat.ML
arxiv:2610.03355
arxiv
Stochastic thermodynamics and predictability of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes: an application to the Madden-Julian Oscillation
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03355v1
2026-10-02T14:20:46Z
CC0-1.0
"Stochastic thermodynamics and predictability of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes: an application to the Madden-Julian Oscillation", arXiv:2610.03355 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03355v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Stochastic thermodynamics and predictability of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes: an application to the Madden-Julian Oscillation Climate oscillations are intrinsically out-of-equilibrium phenomena, yet the connection between their predictability and nonequilibrium thermodynamic properties remains unexplored. We develop a...
1,798
null
null
physics.ao-ph
arxiv:2610.03406
arxiv
PreFER: Interactive Robo-Advisor with Scoring Mechanism
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03406v1
2026-10-02T14:56:22Z
CC0-1.0
"PreFER: Interactive Robo-Advisor with Scoring Mechanism", arXiv:2610.03406 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03406v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
PreFER: Interactive Robo-Advisor with Scoring Mechanism We propose an interactive robo-advising framework that learns personalized risk preferences from scores provided by clients. The resulting preference-learning problem is closely related to inverse reinforcement learning (IRL), as the robo-advisor infers the clien...
1,437
null
null
q-fin.MF
arxiv:2610.20640
arxiv
KNOU-Flood: Advancing global streamflow forecasting with lead-aware probabilistic machine learning
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.20640v1
2026-10-02T14:58:31Z
CC0-1.0
"KNOU-Flood: Advancing global streamflow forecasting with lead-aware probabilistic machine learning", arXiv:2610.20640 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.20640v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
KNOU-Flood: Advancing global streamflow forecasting with lead-aware probabilistic machine learning Global streamflow forecasting supports flood preparedness, yet data-driven models trained on reanalysis lose skill when driven by operational forecasts, increasingly so with lead time. AIFL addresses this shift with a tw...
2,005
null
null
cs.LG
arxiv:2610.03573
arxiv
Disentangling epidemics and percolation
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03573v1
2026-10-02T16:47:51Z
CC0-1.0
"Disentangling epidemics and percolation", arXiv:2610.03573 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03573v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Disentangling epidemics and percolation Non-recurrent epidemics on complex networks, such as the paradigmatic susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model, are often studied by mapping the model to bond percolation. However, the conditions under which this identification is justified have not been fully understood, exce...
1,028
null
null
physics.soc-ph
arxiv:2610.03856
arxiv
Exact and asymptotic enumeration of unrestricted binary phylogenetic networks through automorphism weights
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03856v1
2026-10-02T17:16:05Z
CC0-1.0
"Exact and asymptotic enumeration of unrestricted binary phylogenetic networks through automorphism weights", arXiv:2610.03856 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03856v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Exact and asymptotic enumeration of unrestricted binary phylogenetic networks through automorphism weights Let $\cP_{\ell,k}$ be the set of rooted binary phylogenetic networks with $\ell$ labelled leaves, $k$ reticulations and no parallel edges. We write $|\cP_{\ell,k}|=W_k(\ell)+D_k(\ell)$, where the weighted count $...
1,734
null
null
math.CO
arxiv:2610.03685
arxiv
Boundary inference for the Makeham term in mortality models
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03685v2
2026-10-02T17:50:37Z
CC0-1.0
"Boundary inference for the Makeham term in mortality models", arXiv:2610.03685 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03685v2), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Boundary inference for the Makeham term in mortality models Whether a mortality model needs a Makeham term, the constant representing background mortality, is commonly decided with a likelihood-ratio test. The constant cannot be negative, so testing its absence places it on a boundary, where the usual chi-squared cali...
1,341
null
null
stat.ME
arxiv:2610.03712
arxiv
RNADyn: A Benchmark for Generating and Understanding RNA Dynamics
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03712v1
2026-10-02T17:58:08Z
CC0-1.0
"RNADyn: A Benchmark for Generating and Understanding RNA Dynamics", arXiv:2610.03712 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03712v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
RNADyn: A Benchmark for Generating and Understanding RNA Dynamics Ribonucleic acid (RNA) functions through conformational changes that are not fully captured by static structures. However, large-scale standardized RNA dynamics data remain limited, and existing approaches typically treat trajectory generation and dynam...
1,402
null
null
cs.LG
arxiv:2610.03978
arxiv
Learning Latent Protein Languages for Autoregressive Generation
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03978v1
2026-10-02T19:44:35Z
CC0-1.0
"Learning Latent Protein Languages for Autoregressive Generation", arXiv:2610.03978 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03978v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Learning Latent Protein Languages for Autoregressive Generation Autoregressive transformers remain comparatively weak for protein sequence and structure generation. We study the role of target representation: amino acid tokens encode residue identities without explicit contextual semantics, while backbone coordinates ...
1,955
null
null
cs.LG
arxiv:2610.03987
arxiv
On the sensitivity to hyperparameters of a Bayesian method to infer selection signatures
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03987v1
2026-10-02T19:50:05Z
CC0-1.0
"On the sensitivity to hyperparameters of a Bayesian method to infer selection signatures", arXiv:2610.03987 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03987v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
On the sensitivity to hyperparameters of a Bayesian method to infer selection signatures Motivated by a real-life problem, namely, inferring genomic regions affected by selection, we studied some properties of a two-step method that performs this task based on the FST. This approach exhibits computational simplicity a...
1,698
null
null
stat.ME
arxiv:2610.03992
arxiv
MathAgent: Multi-Agent Optimization of Mathematical Invariants for Molecular Property Prediction
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03992v1
2026-10-02T19:55:27Z
CC0-1.0
"MathAgent: Multi-Agent Optimization of Mathematical Invariants for Molecular Property Prediction", arXiv:2610.03992 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.03992v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
MathAgent: Multi-Agent Optimization of Mathematical Invariants for Molecular Property Prediction Mathematical invariants provide complementary representations of molecular structure, but their predictive utility can vary across datasets and prediction tasks. For a new dataset, appropriate construction of invariant rep...
1,659
null
null
q-bio.BM
arxiv:2610.04090
arxiv
Fluctuation theorems and exact multi-allele fixation probabilities
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04090v1
2026-10-02T21:55:29Z
CC0-1.0
"Fluctuation theorems and exact multi-allele fixation probabilities", arXiv:2610.04090 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04090v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Fluctuation theorems and exact multi-allele fixation probabilities A mutant gene that appears in a finite population will, in the long run, either disappear from it or become fixed, so that all members of the population will carry a copy of the mutant gene. Determining the fixation probability of a mutant gene is thus...
1,987
null
null
q-bio.PE
arxiv:2610.04122
arxiv
Cities of Signals: Compression, Separation, and the Geometry of Novelty
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04122v1
2026-10-02T22:52:37Z
CC0-1.0
"Cities of Signals: Compression, Separation, and the Geometry of Novelty", arXiv:2610.04122 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04122v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Cities of Signals: Compression, Separation, and the Geometry of Novelty A cross-sectional signal is a forecast vector over $d$ assets at each date; demeaned and normalized, it is a point on a sphere. Its city is the direction of its time-averaged vector in a common target-aligned frame, a compressed summary. When is t...
1,978
null
null
q-fin.PM
arxiv:2610.04145
arxiv
Beyond Completion Time: A Multimodal Approach to Characterizing Eye-Hand Coordination During the Nine-Hole Peg Test in Multiple Sclerosis
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04145v1
2026-10-02T23:40:01Z
CC0-1.0
"Beyond Completion Time: A Multimodal Approach to Characterizing Eye-Hand Coordination During the Nine-Hole Peg Test in Multiple Sclerosis", arXiv:2610.04145 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04145v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Beyond Completion Time: A Multimodal Approach to Characterizing Eye-Hand Coordination During the Nine-Hole Peg Test in Multiple Sclerosis Multiple sclerosis (MS) can impair upper-extremity function through motor, sensory, cognitive, and visual deficits. Although the Nine-Hole Peg Test (9-HPT) is widely used to assess ...
1,497
null
null
q-bio.NC
arxiv:2610.04205
arxiv
Origin of the inhomogeneous linewidth in a solid state $^{229}$Th:CaF$_2$ nuclear clock
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04205v1
2026-10-03T01:43:05Z
CC0-1.0
"Origin of the inhomogeneous linewidth in a solid state $^{229}$Th:CaF$_2$ nuclear clock", arXiv:2610.04205 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04205v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Origin of the inhomogeneous linewidth in a solid state $^{229}$Th:CaF$_2$ nuclear clock Narrow linewidth (high-Q) quantum discriminators are essential for realizing solid-state $^{229}$Th nuclear clocks, yet the observed transition linewidths remain at the tens-to-hundreds-of-kilohertz level, far exceeding the sub-Her...
1,618
null
null
physics.atom-ph
arxiv:2610.04222
arxiv
Respiratory Mask Testing: Airway Inertance and System Dynamics
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04222v1
2026-10-03T02:23:15Z
CC0-1.0
"Respiratory Mask Testing: Airway Inertance and System Dynamics", arXiv:2610.04222 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04222v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Respiratory Mask Testing: Airway Inertance and System Dynamics Life support equipment coupled to the human lungs forms a complex, nonlinear dynamic system. Current respiratory mask test standards rely on sinusoidal breathing machines and surrogate trachea geometries that substantially reduce physiologically relevant a...
1,527
null
null
eess.SY
arxiv:2610.04223
arxiv
Matched Triple-Differences: A Framework for Covariate Adjustment
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04223v1
2026-10-03T02:28:08Z
CC0-1.0
"Matched Triple-Differences: A Framework for Covariate Adjustment", arXiv:2610.04223 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04223v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Matched Triple-Differences: A Framework for Covariate Adjustment A common empirical strategy in triple-differences (DDD) is to include either covariate trends or covariate levels to a three-way fixed effects (3WFE) regression. This strategy is typically motivated by the conditional parallel gaps assumption which assum...
1,466
null
null
econ.EM
arxiv:2610.04258
arxiv
FloVMos: Optical Flow-based Medical Video Mosaicking
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04258v1
2026-10-03T03:29:39Z
CC0-1.0
"FloVMos: Optical Flow-based Medical Video Mosaicking", arXiv:2610.04258 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04258v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
FloVMos: Optical Flow-based Medical Video Mosaicking Biomedical imaging modalities often require a trade-off among resolution, field of view (FOV), and acquisition speed. Video mosaicking offers a strategy to overcome this limitation by computationally stitching sequential high-resolution frames into a wide-FOV compos...
1,621
null
null
eess.IV
arxiv:2610.04337
arxiv
FLAT: Smoothing the Rugged Landscape for Learnable, Sample-Efficient Traffic Calibration
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04337v1
2026-10-03T07:05:28Z
CC0-1.0
"FLAT: Smoothing the Rugged Landscape for Learnable, Sample-Efficient Traffic Calibration", arXiv:2610.04337 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04337v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
FLAT: Smoothing the Rugged Landscape for Learnable, Sample-Efficient Traffic Calibration Calibrating microscopic traffic models for digital twins is an expensive black-box optimization problem: tuning car-following and lane-changing parameters requires a full simulation run, affording only a tight budget per recalibra...
1,508
null
null
physics.soc-ph
arxiv:2610.04348
arxiv
A Price-Based Framework for Stochastic Portfolio Theory
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04348v1
2026-10-03T07:18:09Z
CC0-1.0
"A Price-Based Framework for Stochastic Portfolio Theory", arXiv:2610.04348 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04348v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
A Price-Based Framework for Stochastic Portfolio Theory We develop a price-based framework for stochastic portfolio theory in which trading strategies are generated from nominal price weights and evaluated relative to a price-weighted benchmark. Stock splits and reverse splits induce jumps in the generating weights wi...
1,533
null
null
q-fin.MF
arxiv:2610.06947
arxiv
FactorBench: A Portfolio-Aware Benchmark for Automated Factor Mining
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06947v1
2026-10-03T10:57:37Z
CC0-1.0
"FactorBench: A Portfolio-Aware Benchmark for Automated Factor Mining", arXiv:2610.06947 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06947v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
FactorBench: A Portfolio-Aware Benchmark for Automated Factor Mining Factor mining seeks to discover signals from financial data that predict future asset returns and guide portfolio construction. Automated factor mining now spans genetic programming, reinforcement learning, generative models, and large language model...
1,391
null
null
q-fin.PM
arxiv:2610.04558
arxiv
ClimateBench v2.0: Probabilistic Climate Model Benchmarking
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04558v1
2026-10-03T14:49:16Z
CC0-1.0
"ClimateBench v2.0: Probabilistic Climate Model Benchmarking", arXiv:2610.04558 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04558v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
ClimateBench v2.0: Probabilistic Climate Model Benchmarking We present ClimateBench v2, a standardized protocol for evaluating climate models on diagnostics expected to be informative for their skill in projecting mid-century regional temperature and precipitation changes. The protocol is designed to evaluate any phys...
1,939
null
null
physics.ao-ph
arxiv:2610.04653
arxiv
Phase-matching in high-order harmonic generation with a plasma-reshaped driving field
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04653v1
2026-10-03T16:54:04Z
CC0-1.0
"Phase-matching in high-order harmonic generation with a plasma-reshaped driving field", arXiv:2610.04653 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04653v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Phase-matching in high-order harmonic generation with a plasma-reshaped driving field The transition from titanium-sapphire to ytterbium-based laser technology enables turnkey implementations of high-order harmonic generation (HHG) setups at high repetition rates, opening up new applications, e.g., in semiconductor me...
1,407
null
null
physics.optics
arxiv:2610.04688
arxiv
Submission quotas as self-screening when manuscript production is cheap
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04688v2
2026-10-03T18:04:38Z
CC0-1.0
"Submission quotas as self-screening when manuscript production is cheap", arXiv:2610.04688 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04688v2), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Submission quotas as self-screening when manuscript production is cheap Generative AI enables authors to produce more manuscripts at lower cost. But evaluation by expert editors and referees remains scarce. In this context, the value of an author's submission rights can increase. Major research repositories and journa...
1,171
null
null
econ.TH
arxiv:2610.04697
arxiv
Efficiency and robustness partition the solution space for memory in recurrent networks
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04697v1
2026-10-03T18:19:05Z
CC0-1.0
"Efficiency and robustness partition the solution space for memory in recurrent networks", arXiv:2610.04697 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04697v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Efficiency and robustness partition the solution space for memory in recurrent networks In computational neuroscience, task-trained recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are commonly used as a testbed for exploring the space of recurrent circuit solutions compatible with a particular function. However, these networks are s...
1,433
null
null
q-bio.NC
arxiv:2610.04732
arxiv
On the Spread of a Virus and Traveling Waves, Part I
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04732v1
2026-10-03T19:51:15Z
CC0-1.0
"On the Spread of a Virus and Traveling Waves, Part I", arXiv:2610.04732 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04732v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
On the Spread of a Virus and Traveling Waves, Part I This paper develops a one-dimensional model for a mobile viral component propagating through a spatially distributed susceptible population. Random viral motion produces diffusion, whereas a response to the relative gradient of susceptible density generates directed...
1,580
null
null
math.DS
arxiv:2610.04763
arxiv
Tracing model-generated DNA with position-independent watermarking
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04763v1
2026-10-03T20:56:43Z
CC0-1.0
"Tracing model-generated DNA with position-independent watermarking", arXiv:2610.04763 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04763v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Tracing model-generated DNA with position-independent watermarking Genomic language models can write synthetic DNA that carries no record of its origin. A generation-time watermark could provide a provenance signal, if a verifier can detect it using only the DNA sequence, a key, and published detector settings, withou...
1,404
null
null
q-bio.GN
arxiv:2610.04787
arxiv
Active-DiNTS: Active Differentiable Network Topology Search
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04787v1
2026-10-03T22:18:58Z
CC0-1.0
"Active-DiNTS: Active Differentiable Network Topology Search", arXiv:2610.04787 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04787v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Active-DiNTS: Active Differentiable Network Topology Search Neural Architecture Search (NAS) has proved to be a strong alternative to manual network design, but applying it to 3D medical image segmentation is limited by two well-known costs, large annotation budgets and multi-GPU clusters. Thus, this paper introduces ...
1,749
null
null
cs.CV
arxiv:2610.04797
arxiv
Quantitative near-atomic-resolution oxidation-state mapping in complex oxide heterostructures by electron energy-loss spectroscopy
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04797v1
2026-10-03T22:54:10Z
CC0-1.0
"Quantitative near-atomic-resolution oxidation-state mapping in complex oxide heterostructures by electron energy-loss spectroscopy", arXiv:2610.04797 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04797v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Quantitative near-atomic-resolution oxidation-state mapping in complex oxide heterostructures by electron energy-loss spectroscopy We present a theoretical framework for quantitative oxidation state mapping of transition-metal and rare-earth elements from near-atomic-resolution electron energy-loss spectroscopy (EELS)...
1,845
null
null
cond-mat.mtrl-sci
arxiv:2610.04843
arxiv
Multicatalyst reactions induce abrupt transition in a dense catalytic reaction network model
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04843v1
2026-10-04T00:55:55Z
CC0-1.0
"Multicatalyst reactions induce abrupt transition in a dense catalytic reaction network model", arXiv:2610.04843 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04843v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Multicatalyst reactions induce abrupt transition in a dense catalytic reaction network model We generalize the Furusawa--Kaneko model, a simple model of intracellular catalytic reaction networks, to multicatalyst reactions and analyze the generalized model using dynamical mean-field theory. In the thermodynamic and de...
1,150
null
null
cond-mat.stat-mech
arxiv:2610.04926
arxiv
Reproducibility and Leakage-Controlled Evaluation of Machine-Learning Models for Chronic Kidney Disease Classification
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04926v1
2026-10-04T04:10:01Z
CC0-1.0
"Reproducibility and Leakage-Controlled Evaluation of Machine-Learning Models for Chronic Kidney Disease Classification", arXiv:2610.04926 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04926v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Reproducibility and Leakage-Controlled Evaluation of Machine-Learning Models for Chronic Kidney Disease Classification Near-perfect classification of small clinical datasets can hinge on preprocessing, data leakage, missing-data handling, and the evaluation sample. We reproduced a published chronic kidney disease (CKD...
2,021
null
null
stat.AP
arxiv:2610.04934
arxiv
Effect of Added Salts on the Interfacial Dynamics of Monovalent Metal Ions and Model Water-Soluble Polymers
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04934v1
2026-10-04T04:25:57Z
CC0-1.0
"Effect of Added Salts on the Interfacial Dynamics of Monovalent Metal Ions and Model Water-Soluble Polymers", arXiv:2610.04934 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04934v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Effect of Added Salts on the Interfacial Dynamics of Monovalent Metal Ions and Model Water-Soluble Polymers Traditional theories of electrolyte and polyelectrolyte solutions overlook ion and polymer hydration, yielding an overly idealized perspective of the thermodynamic and dynamic properties of these solutions. In p...
1,818
null
null
cond-mat.soft
arxiv:2610.04945
arxiv
TempoBridge: Source-Conditioned Flow Matching with Optimal Transport Couplings for Single-Cell Population Transitions
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04945v2
2026-10-04T04:39:07Z
CC0-1.0
"TempoBridge: Source-Conditioned Flow Matching with Optimal Transport Couplings for Single-Cell Population Transitions", arXiv:2610.04945 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04945v2), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
TempoBridge: Source-Conditioned Flow Matching with Optimal Transport Couplings for Single-Cell Population Transitions Destructive single-cell measurements provide unpaired population snapshots rather than observations of the same cells across conditions. Local cell states and transition requests may also be insufficie...
1,562
null
null
cs.LG
arxiv:2610.04970
arxiv
Integrated omics reveals actionable drivers of bioactive variation in US milk
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04970v1
2026-10-04T05:35:46Z
CC0-1.0
"Integrated omics reveals actionable drivers of bioactive variation in US milk", arXiv:2610.04970 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04970v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Integrated omics reveals actionable drivers of bioactive variation in US milk Despite milk being a global dietary staple, the molecular basis of its health-relevant bioactivity and the factors governing fine-scale compositional variation remain poorly understood. Here, we present an integrated seven-layer omics charac...
1,860
null
null
q-bio.QM
arxiv:2610.04990
arxiv
Buying at Support: The Entry Problem under Multi-Skew Brownian Motion
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04990v1
2026-10-04T06:20:15Z
CC0-1.0
"Buying at Support: The Entry Problem under Multi-Skew Brownian Motion", arXiv:2610.04990 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.04990v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Buying at Support: The Entry Problem under Multi-Skew Brownian Motion We study when to buy a share that will later be sold optimally, when the price follows a geometric multi-skew Brownian motion whose skew levels model support and resistance. The reward for buying is the exit premium of the liquidation problem solved...
732
null
null
q-fin.MF
arxiv:2610.05145
arxiv
Metastability and nucleation of bubbles in active chiral systems
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05145v1
2026-10-04T11:46:27Z
CC0-1.0
"Metastability and nucleation of bubbles in active chiral systems", arXiv:2610.05145 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05145v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Metastability and nucleation of bubbles in active chiral systems Bubbles frequently emerge in dense chiral active fluids, yet it remains unclear whether they result from an instability of the homogeneous state or from rare nucleation events within a metastable phase. Here we develop a nucleation theory for chiral bubb...
1,415
null
null
cond-mat.soft
arxiv:2610.05148
arxiv
A cryogenic apparatus with a rotatable substrate for matrix isolation spectroscopy of BaF in neon crystals down to 3.2 K
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05148v1
2026-10-04T11:50:46Z
CC0-1.0
"A cryogenic apparatus with a rotatable substrate for matrix isolation spectroscopy of BaF in neon crystals down to 3.2 K", arXiv:2610.05148 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05148v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
A cryogenic apparatus with a rotatable substrate for matrix isolation spectroscopy of BaF in neon crystals down to 3.2 K We present a new experimental apparatus for matrix isolation spectroscopy capable of growing cryogenic crystal matrices doped with barium monofluoride (BaF), a candidate for measurements of the elec...
1,440
null
null
physics.atom-ph
arxiv:2610.07006
arxiv
STOCK-JEPA: Prior-Anchored Latent Revision Representation Learning in Equity Markets
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07006v1
2026-10-04T12:42:27Z
CC0-1.0
"STOCK-JEPA: Prior-Anchored Latent Revision Representation Learning in Equity Markets", arXiv:2610.07006 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07006v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
STOCK-JEPA: Prior-Anchored Latent Revision Representation Learning in Equity Markets Learning effective representations helps characterize the structure and dynamics of equity markets from financial data with a low signal-to-noise ratio. Black-box deep models can capture complex patterns but may overfit sample noise a...
1,986
null
null
cs.LG
arxiv:2610.05182
arxiv
TIRMamba: A Thermal-Prior-Modulated State-Space Network for Sub-Million-Parameter Infrared Image Super-Resolution
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05182v1
2026-10-04T12:45:13Z
CC0-1.0
"TIRMamba: A Thermal-Prior-Modulated State-Space Network for Sub-Million-Parameter Infrared Image Super-Resolution", arXiv:2610.05182 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05182v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
TIRMamba: A Thermal-Prior-Modulated State-Space Network for Sub-Million-Parameter Infrared Image Super-Resolution Infrared image super-resolution is currently led by Mamba-based networks with 26 to 37 million parameters, which are difficult to deploy on the airborne and handheld platforms where thermal imaging is most...
1,635
null
null
eess.IV
arxiv:2610.05196
arxiv
Measuring Learned Monotone Temporal Aggregation at Matched Admissibility
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05196v2
2026-10-04T13:09:01Z
CC0-1.0
"Measuring Learned Monotone Temporal Aggregation at Matched Admissibility", arXiv:2610.05196 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05196v2), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Measuring Learned Monotone Temporal Aggregation at Matched Admissibility Risk regulation imposes directional constraints on scores; we adopt their strict per-input form -- the score monotone non-decreasing in every exposure input -- as a normative commitment. Deployed pipelines -- monotone hand-crafted aggregates feed...
1,984
null
null
cs.LG
arxiv:2610.05244
arxiv
Neutrino Emissivity in $Δ$-direct-Urca Processes Inside Neutron Stars
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05244v1
2026-10-04T14:21:29Z
CC0-1.0
"Neutrino Emissivity in $Δ$-direct-Urca Processes Inside Neutron Stars", arXiv:2610.05244 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05244v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Neutrino Emissivity in $Δ$-direct-Urca Processes Inside Neutron Stars Observed massive neutron stars may contain heavier baryons such as $Δ$ isobars and hyperons in their interiors. In the presence of $Δ$ isobars, the neutrino emitting nucleonic Urca processes can be accompanied by $Δ$-direct-Urca processes involving ...
1,092
null
null
nucl-th
arxiv:2610.05251
arxiv
What a Shorter Contest Really Costs: Serial Dependence, Effective Trials, and Evidence from a Rule Change in Professional Esports
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05251v1
2026-10-04T14:26:56Z
CC0-1.0
"What a Shorter Contest Really Costs: Serial Dependence, Effective Trials, and Evidence from a Rule Change in Professional Esports", arXiv:2610.05251 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05251v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
What a Shorter Contest Really Costs: Serial Dependence, Effective Trials, and Evidence from a Rule Change in Professional Esports Operational research evaluates tournament formats by their efficacy, the probability that the design identifies the stronger competitor, and computes it almost exclusively by simulation und...
1,527
null
null
econ.GN
arxiv:2610.05263
arxiv
A Logic for Minor-Free Graph Classes: Model Checking, Dependence, and Combinatorial Reconfiguration
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05263v1
2026-10-04T14:34:24Z
CC0-1.0
"A Logic for Minor-Free Graph Classes: Model Checking, Dependence, and Combinatorial Reconfiguration", arXiv:2610.05263 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05263v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
A Logic for Minor-Free Graph Classes: Model Checking, Dependence, and Combinatorial Reconfiguration We introduce \emph{sub-connectivity logic}, denoted by $\textsf{FOscon}$, an extension of first-order logic for graphs with a specified set $Z$ of admissible edges. Its additional atom $\textsf{scon}(x,y;\bar z)$ assert...
1,942
null
null
cs.LO
arxiv:2610.05367
arxiv
AIProver: Agentic Auto-Formalization of Mathematical Research via Certificate-Driven Evolving Harness
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05367v1
2026-10-04T16:48:12Z
CC0-1.0
"AIProver: Agentic Auto-Formalization of Mathematical Research via Certificate-Driven Evolving Harness", arXiv:2610.05367 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05367v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
AIProver: Agentic Auto-Formalization of Mathematical Research via Certificate-Driven Evolving Harness Proof auto-formalization translates natural-language (NL) theorems and proofs into a formal language (FL) such as Lean, enabling mechanical verification. Despite rapid progress, research-level proofs often depend on c...
2,020
null
null
cs.LO
arxiv:2610.05405
arxiv
Impulse Response Inference for Matrix Autoregressions
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05405v1
2026-10-04T17:42:36Z
CC0-1.0
"Impulse Response Inference for Matrix Autoregressions", arXiv:2610.05405 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05405v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Impulse Response Inference for Matrix Autoregressions Matrix autoregressive (MAR) models offer a parsimonious framework for modeling matrix-valued time series, yet tools for estimation and inference for their impulse response functions are lacking. We develop asymptotic and bootstrap-based inference for impulse respon...
1,039
null
null
econ.EM
arxiv:2610.05419
arxiv
Recurrent network dynamics explain the time course of perceptual grouping in natural scenes
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05419v1
2026-10-04T18:00:46Z
CC0-1.0
"Recurrent network dynamics explain the time course of perceptual grouping in natural scenes", arXiv:2610.05419 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05419v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Recurrent network dynamics explain the time course of perceptual grouping in natural scenes How the brain groups image elements into coherent objects in natural scenes remains unclear. Existing models for grouping in biological vision rely on simplified stimuli with explicit boundaries and cannot explain human behavio...
1,263
null
null
q-bio.NC
arxiv:2610.05426
arxiv
Distortion-Free High-Resolution PROPELLER-DWI: Technical Advances and Initial Demonstration for the Prostate
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05426v1
2026-10-04T18:07:13Z
CC0-1.0
"Distortion-Free High-Resolution PROPELLER-DWI: Technical Advances and Initial Demonstration for the Prostate", arXiv:2610.05426 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05426v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Distortion-Free High-Resolution PROPELLER-DWI: Technical Advances and Initial Demonstration for the Prostate Purpose: To develop and evaluate an integrated acquisition and reconstruction framework for distortion-free, high-resolution prostate diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI). Methods: PROPELLER-DWI combines pulsed-gra...
1,811
null
null
eess.IV
arxiv:2610.05465
arxiv
Tao-Travkin equivalence revisited
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05465v1
2026-10-04T19:12:24Z
CC0-1.0
"Tao-Travkin equivalence revisited", arXiv:2610.05465 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05465v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Tao-Travkin equivalence revisited We give a simpler proof of the theorem of J.~Tao and R.~Travkin saying that (the neutral block of) the affine Hecke category is the monoidal colimit of finite Hecke categories. The argument is axiomatized to apply to various sheaf-theoretic and group-theoretic contexts. We also prove ...
424
null
null
math.RT
arxiv:2610.05486
arxiv
Surrogate-powered Causal Inference with Censored Outcomes
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05486v1
2026-10-04T19:49:01Z
CC0-1.0
"Surrogate-powered Causal Inference with Censored Outcomes", arXiv:2610.05486 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05486v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Surrogate-powered Causal Inference with Censored Outcomes Clinical trials with survival endpoints lose information when participants are censored before death is observed. We develop target-preserving estimators that use posttreatment disease history, such as recurrence or progression, to recover information lost to c...
1,613
null
null
math.ST
arxiv:2610.05556
arxiv
How Simple Models Can Reproduce Multiple Epidemic Waves: Peak Topology, Minimal Dynamic Complexity, and Inference for Time-Varying Transmission
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05556v1
2026-10-04T21:44:53Z
CC0-1.0
"How Simple Models Can Reproduce Multiple Epidemic Waves: Peak Topology, Minimal Dynamic Complexity, and Inference for Time-Varying Transmission", arXiv:2610.05556 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05556v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
How Simple Models Can Reproduce Multiple Epidemic Waves: Peak Topology, Minimal Dynamic Complexity, and Inference for Time-Varying Transmission Multiple epidemic waves are often taken as evidence that simple compartmental models are structurally inadequate. Yet the key question is not whether a simple model can reprod...
2,021
null
null
q-bio.PE
arxiv:2610.05648
arxiv
$^{86}$Ni: Possible doubly-magic nucleus with neutron halo
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05648v1
2026-10-05T00:52:16Z
CC0-1.0
"$^{86}$Ni: Possible doubly-magic nucleus with neutron halo", arXiv:2610.05648 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05648v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
$^{86}$Ni: Possible doubly-magic nucleus with neutron halo Self-consistent mean-field calculations with semi-realistic interactions have predicted that $N=58$ becomes a magic number near Ni, where the $n2s_{1/2}$ orbit is the highest occupied state. As the last neutrons occupy the shallowly bound $s$-orbit, $^{86}$Ni ...
794
null
null
nucl-th
arxiv:2610.05650
arxiv
Payment Design under Belief Disagreement: Rent Placement, Bid Resolution, and Auction Choice
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05650v1
2026-10-05T00:53:05Z
CC0-1.0
"Payment Design under Belief Disagreement: Rent Placement, Bid Resolution, and Auction Choice", arXiv:2610.05650 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05650v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Payment Design under Belief Disagreement: Rent Placement, Bid Resolution, and Auction Choice When auction bidders misperceive their rivals, a seller can change not only the amount of information rent but also the states in which it is delivered. We ask when this payment-design opportunity survives a finite bidding int...
1,786
null
null
cs.GT
arxiv:2610.05675
arxiv
A Superprocess-based Approach to Rough CIR Processes and Feller Random Measures
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05675v1
2026-10-05T01:42:42Z
CC0-1.0
"A Superprocess-based Approach to Rough CIR Processes and Feller Random Measures", arXiv:2610.05675 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05675v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
A Superprocess-based Approach to Rough CIR Processes and Feller Random Measures Feller random measures generalize the Feller diffusion (the CIR process) by giving it memory. They arise as the scaling limits of nearly unstable Hawkes processes, and include the rough CIR process and its hyper-rough and discontinuous rel...
1,158
null
null
math.PR
arxiv:2610.05676
arxiv
An evolutionary origin of collective decision making in humans and machines
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05676v1
2026-10-05T01:42:46Z
CC0-1.0
"An evolutionary origin of collective decision making in humans and machines", arXiv:2610.05676 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05676v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
An evolutionary origin of collective decision making in humans and machines Groups of individuals can solve collective problems more accurately than any single member, by aggregating their opinions. Recent theoretical work has identified individual-level reward schemes that allow uninformed individuals to evolve colle...
1,816
null
null
physics.soc-ph
arxiv:2610.07050
arxiv
Spontaneous Motion Generates Reversible Nonreciprocity in an Achiral Active Elastic Ring
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07050v1
2026-10-05T02:39:09Z
CC0-1.0
"Spontaneous Motion Generates Reversible Nonreciprocity in an Achiral Active Elastic Ring", arXiv:2610.07050 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07050v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Spontaneous Motion Generates Reversible Nonreciprocity in an Achiral Active Elastic Ring Nonreciprocal mechanical response is usually associated with built-in directional couplings, structural chirality, or external driving. Whether an achiral active body can instead generate and reverse such directionality through it...
1,001
null
null
cond-mat.soft
arxiv:2610.08856
arxiv
Dynamical Insights into the Current Control Strategies for Chikungunya
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08856v2
2026-10-05T03:10:27Z
CC0-1.0
"Dynamical Insights into the Current Control Strategies for Chikungunya", arXiv:2610.08856 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.08856v2), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Dynamical Insights into the Current Control Strategies for Chikungunya This paper addresses the challenge that, under China's current mosquito-control policy for chikungunya---\textit{clearing stagnant water, killing adult mosquitoes, and preventing bites}---epidemics can still recur and continue to rise. By construct...
1,441
null
null
q-bio.PE
arxiv:2610.05740
arxiv
Latent Continuum of Regimes in Limit Order Book Dynamics
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05740v2
2026-10-05T03:44:47Z
CC0-1.0
"Latent Continuum of Regimes in Limit Order Book Dynamics", arXiv:2610.05740 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05740v2), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Latent Continuum of Regimes in Limit Order Book Dynamics Market-regime models typically assume a finite set of discrete latent states. We examine whether high frequency limit-order-book dynamics exhibit distinct regime separation or apparent regimes result from discretising an underlying continuum, analysing deep limi...
1,971
null
null
q-fin.TR
arxiv:2610.05741
arxiv
A Dirichlet Mixed-Membership Model for Exact Multivariate Distributional Credibility
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05741v1
2026-10-05T03:45:00Z
CC0-1.0
"A Dirichlet Mixed-Membership Model for Exact Multivariate Distributional Credibility", arXiv:2610.05741 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05741v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
A Dirichlet Mixed-Membership Model for Exact Multivariate Distributional Credibility Credibility theory combines individual experience with portfolio information for insurance pricing, but classical formulations focus primarily on conditional means and expected premiums. We propose a Dirichlet mixed-membership model (...
1,614
null
null
stat.ME
arxiv:2610.05804
arxiv
Multi-type branching diffusions with small mutation rates
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05804v1
2026-10-05T04:55:34Z
CC0-1.0
"Multi-type branching diffusions with small mutation rates", arXiv:2610.05804 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05804v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Multi-type branching diffusions with small mutation rates Approximate solutions are found for Feller-like neutral multi-type branching diffusions $\big{(}\mathbf{X}(t)\big{)}_{t \in \mathbb{R}_{\ge 0}}$ in the limit of small mutation rates. The method employed involves solving approximations to the Laplace transformed...
1,035
null
null
math.PR
arxiv:2610.05823
arxiv
Who Keeps the Gains from Personal AI Assistants? Seller Adaptation and the Unassisted in a Language-Model Market Simulation
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05823v1
2026-10-05T05:20:51Z
CC0-1.0
"Who Keeps the Gains from Personal AI Assistants? Seller Adaptation and the Unassisted in a Language-Model Market Simulation", arXiv:2610.05823 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05823v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Who Keeps the Gains from Personal AI Assistants? Seller Adaptation and the Unassisted in a Language-Model Market Simulation Personal AI assistants are beginning to transact for consumers, and early adopters capture real savings. Whether those savings survive, and what happens to consumers who have no assistant, depend...
1,845
null
null
cs.MA
arxiv:2610.05836
arxiv
Shape Transformations and Rupture of a Vesicle Driven by an Encapsulated Active Particle
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05836v1
2026-10-05T05:38:45Z
CC0-1.0
"Shape Transformations and Rupture of a Vesicle Driven by an Encapsulated Active Particle", arXiv:2610.05836 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05836v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Shape Transformations and Rupture of a Vesicle Driven by an Encapsulated Active Particle Biological membranes are highly deformable structures that undergo shape transformations during numerous cellular processes. These transformations are often driven by active agents, including molecular motors, cytoskeletal machine...
1,499
null
null
cond-mat.soft
arxiv:2610.05847
arxiv
Classification of reductive monoids
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05847v1
2026-10-05T06:03:40Z
CC0-1.0
"Classification of reductive monoids", arXiv:2610.05847 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05847v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Classification of reductive monoids We classify reductive monoids over arbitrary base schemes by descent from the split classification in arXiv:2607.00322. For a reductive group scheme $G$, we construct its sheaf of based root data, abstract Cartan torus, abstract Weyl group, and a scheme of Weyl cones. The last of th...
634
null
null
math.RT
arxiv:2610.07060
arxiv
Skillful Data-Driven Subseasonal Soil Moisture Forecasting: Prospects and Limits for Flash Drought Prediction
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07060v1
2026-10-05T06:34:10Z
CC0-1.0
"Skillful Data-Driven Subseasonal Soil Moisture Forecasting: Prospects and Limits for Flash Drought Prediction", arXiv:2610.07060 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.07060v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Skillful Data-Driven Subseasonal Soil Moisture Forecasting: Prospects and Limits for Flash Drought Prediction Despite substantial progress in short-to-medium-range weather forecasting, predicting high-impact events such as flash droughts remains a key challenge for both early warning operations and physically-based su...
1,586
null
null
cs.LG
arxiv:2610.05895
arxiv
Bifurcation of laser-dressed band extrema in solids under intense low-frequency fields
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05895v1
2026-10-05T07:12:20Z
CC0-1.0
"Bifurcation of laser-dressed band extrema in solids under intense low-frequency fields", arXiv:2610.05895 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05895v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Bifurcation of laser-dressed band extrema in solids under intense low-frequency fields We show that an intense low-frequency laser field can qualitatively modify the local extremal structure of an interband energy gap in a crystal. Using an instantaneous laser-dressed basis obtained from the nonperturbative diagonaliz...
1,458
null
null
physics.atom-ph
arxiv:2610.05913
arxiv
CoHyFuse: Condition-wise Hypergraph Fusion with Global Connectome in Task-fMRI
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05913v1
2026-10-05T07:27:14Z
CC0-1.0
"CoHyFuse: Condition-wise Hypergraph Fusion with Global Connectome in Task-fMRI", arXiv:2610.05913 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05913v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
CoHyFuse: Condition-wise Hypergraph Fusion with Global Connectome in Task-fMRI Task-fMRI connectomes reveal state-dependent neural reconfigurations, yet conventional methods marginalize these signals by aggregating distinct conditions into static pairwise graphs, thereby obscuring condition-specific multi-ROI organiza...
1,908
null
null
cs.LG
arxiv:2610.05926
arxiv
Comparing two approaches for modelling the loss given default of credit cards: Run-off triangles vs regression
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05926v1
2026-10-05T07:45:57Z
CC0-1.0
"Comparing two approaches for modelling the loss given default of credit cards: Run-off triangles vs regression", arXiv:2610.05926 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.05926v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Comparing two approaches for modelling the loss given default of credit cards: Run-off triangles vs regression The use of run-off triangles (ROTs) is a common industry practice in estimating the loss given default (LGD) risk parameter when predicting credit losses in banking. We benchmark this industry practice using ...
1,552
null
null
q-fin.RM
arxiv:2610.06007
arxiv
Seventy Years of Identifying the Phillips Curve and the Policy Rule
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06007v1
2026-10-05T09:04:21Z
CC0-1.0
"Seventy Years of Identifying the Phillips Curve and the Policy Rule", arXiv:2610.06007 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06007v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Seventy Years of Identifying the Phillips Curve and the Policy Rule Two coefficients enter nearly every quantitative argument about monetary policy: the Phillips-curve slope and the policy rule's response to inflation. For seventy years, each generation that estimated them identified the coefficient conditional on ass...
982
null
null
econ.GN
arxiv:2610.06022
arxiv
Interplay between final-state nucleon distortion, nuclear transparency and intranuclear cascade models in neutrino event generators
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06022v1
2026-10-05T09:20:44Z
CC0-1.0
"Interplay between final-state nucleon distortion, nuclear transparency and intranuclear cascade models in neutrino event generators", arXiv:2610.06022 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06022v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Interplay between final-state nucleon distortion, nuclear transparency and intranuclear cascade models in neutrino event generators We present an overview of the relativistic distorted-wave impulse approximation (RDWIA) for lepton-nucleus scattering, with emphasis on its use as an elementary-vertex model in event gene...
1,449
null
null
nucl-th
arxiv:2610.06027
arxiv
Unraveling phenotypic variation in multiscale behavioral dynamics
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06027v2
2026-10-05T09:26:23Z
CC0-1.0
"Unraveling phenotypic variation in multiscale behavioral dynamics", arXiv:2610.06027 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06027v2), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Unraveling phenotypic variation in multiscale behavioral dynamics Behavioral variability reflects differences in internal and external parameters and provides a substrate for natural selection. However, uncovering its structure is challenging because behavior evolves nonlinearly across multiple timescales. Our goal is...
1,557
null
null
physics.bio-ph
arxiv:2610.06034
arxiv
How well do routinely collected demographic and clinical variables aid point-of-care lung ultrasound TB classification
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06034v1
2026-10-05T09:32:17Z
CC0-1.0
"How well do routinely collected demographic and clinical variables aid point-of-care lung ultrasound TB classification", arXiv:2610.06034 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06034v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
How well do routinely collected demographic and clinical variables aid point-of-care lung ultrasound TB classification We consider the fusion of lung ultrasound images with routinely-collected clinical and demographic data for the purpose of automated tuberculosis (TB) screening using deep-learning. Such deep-learning...
1,917
null
null
eess.IV
arxiv:2610.06065
arxiv
From communication to computation in neurons-on-a-chip: an in silico study of neurotopomorphic computing
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06065v1
2026-10-05T10:01:31Z
CC0-1.0
"From communication to computation in neurons-on-a-chip: an in silico study of neurotopomorphic computing", arXiv:2610.06065 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06065v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
From communication to computation in neurons-on-a-chip: an in silico study of neurotopomorphic computing Living neuronal networks transform inputs through recurrent cellular and population dynamics, yet it is unknown which network architecture supports which computation. Neurons-on-a-chip turn this question into a des...
1,255
null
null
q-bio.NC
arxiv:2610.06074
arxiv
Preemptive defense against re-identification attacks on voice anonymization via adversarial perturbation
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06074v1
2026-10-05T10:06:25Z
CC0-1.0
"Preemptive defense against re-identification attacks on voice anonymization via adversarial perturbation", arXiv:2610.06074 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06074v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Preemptive defense against re-identification attacks on voice anonymization via adversarial perturbation Voice anonymization (VA) is used to conceal the voice identities in speech data. Performance is usually estimated using automatic speaker verification (ASV) as a proxy to judge the capability of an attacker to re-i...
1,219
null
null
eess.AS
arxiv:2610.06099
arxiv
A Renormalization-Group Hierarchy of Stochastic Effective Dynamics Learned through Path Integrals
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06099v1
2026-10-05T10:32:07Z
CC0-1.0
"A Renormalization-Group Hierarchy of Stochastic Effective Dynamics Learned through Path Integrals", arXiv:2610.06099 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06099v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
A Renormalization-Group Hierarchy of Stochastic Effective Dynamics Learned through Path Integrals This study combines a stochastic renormalization group (RG) in space with a path-integral description of the time evolution, giving a spatial hierarchy of coarse-grained dynamics together with the distribution over spatio...
1,669
null
null
nlin.CD
arxiv:2610.06107
arxiv
Diffusion Meets Unrolling: Compressive SAR Image Reconstruction with Interleaved Learned Corrections
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06107v1
2026-10-05T10:40:03Z
CC0-1.0
"Diffusion Meets Unrolling: Compressive SAR Image Reconstruction with Interleaved Learned Corrections", arXiv:2610.06107 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06107v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Diffusion Meets Unrolling: Compressive SAR Image Reconstruction with Interleaved Learned Corrections Compressive Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imaging, typically formulated as an inverse problem and solved with traditional iterative optimisation methods, can be very computationally expensive. We investigate the use o...
1,221
null
null
eess.IV
arxiv:2610.06118
arxiv
Preferential centrality with a density penalty: formulation and an open-source implementation
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06118v1
2026-10-05T10:49:28Z
CC0-1.0
"Preferential centrality with a density penalty: formulation and an open-source implementation", arXiv:2610.06118 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06118v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Preferential centrality with a density penalty: formulation and an open-source implementation Preferential centrality (Hellervik, Nilsson and Andersson, 2019) models spatial activity through feedback between activity and attraction. We extend it with a density penalty. The local response depends on activity per unit o...
1,632
null
null
physics.soc-ph
arxiv:2610.06119
arxiv
Power enhancement via cross-fit variance estimation: Applications to specification, overidentification, and many-restriction testing
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06119v1
2026-10-05T10:50:04Z
CC0-1.0
"Power enhancement via cross-fit variance estimation: Applications to specification, overidentification, and many-restriction testing", arXiv:2610.06119 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06119v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Power enhancement via cross-fit variance estimation: Applications to specification, overidentification, and many-restriction testing Quadratic-form test statistics are widely used in econometrics, and their performance depends on accurate variance estimation. Conventional plug-in estimators are consistent under the nu...
1,720
null
null
econ.EM
arxiv:2610.06146
arxiv
Impact of Data Augmentation on Confidence Calibration in Melanoma Classification
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06146v1
2026-10-05T11:18:42Z
CC0-1.0
"Impact of Data Augmentation on Confidence Calibration in Melanoma Classification", arXiv:2610.06146 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06146v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Impact of Data Augmentation on Confidence Calibration in Melanoma Classification Accurately quantifying the predictive uncertainty or improving model calibration plays an important role in medical image classification, in particular in melanoma diagnosis, where accurate uncertainty quantification can have significant ...
1,131
null
null
cs.AI
arxiv:2610.06163
arxiv
Where Did the Repair First Go Wrong? Localizing the Origins of Silent Failures in Agentic Vulnerability Repair
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06163v1
2026-10-05T11:31:16Z
CC0-1.0
"Where Did the Repair First Go Wrong? Localizing the Origins of Silent Failures in Agentic Vulnerability Repair", arXiv:2610.06163 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06163v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Where Did the Repair First Go Wrong? Localizing the Origins of Silent Failures in Agentic Vulnerability Repair Localizing where an LLM-based agent first fails to uphold security during a repair can show which stage of its workflow needs an additional safeguard. This is difficult for silent failures, which are patches ...
1,470
null
null
cs.CR
arxiv:2610.06164
arxiv
Predicting Engagement with Sponsored Content Across Account Types on Instagram
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06164v1
2026-10-05T11:33:44Z
CC0-1.0
"Predicting Engagement with Sponsored Content Across Account Types on Instagram", arXiv:2610.06164 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06164v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Predicting Engagement with Sponsored Content Across Account Types on Instagram In this work we explore how users interact with sponsored content on social media platforms by collecting and analyzing a large-scale dataset of sponsored Instagram posts. To maintain transparency, we favor robust statistical analysis and e...
1,045
null
null
cs.SI
arxiv:2610.06168
arxiv
Model Risk Analysis for Entropic Hedging Strategies
https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06168v1
2026-10-05T11:39:06Z
CC0-1.0
"Model Risk Analysis for Entropic Hedging Strategies", arXiv:2610.06168 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06168v1), abstract by the paper's authors. arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0.
Model Risk Analysis for Entropic Hedging Strategies Entropic risk optimisation is a general framework for pricing and hedging financial derivatives in incomplete markets that can be used to decompose P&L into market and model risk contributions. When the prices are quadratic Gaussian, the coupled equations for price a...
864
null
null
q-fin.MF
End of preview. Expand in Data Studio

Fresh Text · Udgam Labs

UDGAM LABS · Evaluation set · 1,670 documents written after 1 September 2026

Fresh Text, October 2026

1,670 English documents that did not exist before September 2026: 542 Wikipedia articles first created between 1 September and 15 October 2026, and 1,128 arXiv abstracts submitted between 1 and 15 October 2026, 3.9 MB of text in all. No model trained before September 2026 can have seen this text, so a model's bits per byte on it measures how well the model predicts new writing, not how much of a public test it has memorised. Scoring a 100–400M-parameter model takes two to five minutes on an Apple-silicon Mac.

Code: github.com/udgamlabs/udgam-evals · Companion test: Udgam Probe Suite · udgamlabs.com

Related work: UncheatableEval

This set follows the idea of UncheatableEval (Tan, Li and Shen, arXiv:2609.27510): score base models on text published after they were trained. UncheatableEval is broader. Its newest snapshot (July 2026, published 27 July) covers 15 categories, including code, news, fiction and non-English Wikipedia, and its leaderboard reaches far larger models. This set is a narrow companion for small models:

  • A newer window. Text from 1 September to 15 October 2026.
  • A licence on every row. Only sources whose licences allow redistribution (Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0; arXiv metadata, CC0 1.0), with a revision permalink and a credit line per row. UncheatableEval's dataset cards do not state a licence.
  • Documented provenance. Wikipedia pages are kept only if their first revision falls in the window, pages that were copied, split, merged, translated or restored are dropped, and pages Wikipedia editors later deleted or tagged as suspected AI-generated text are removed.
  • Uncertainty with every comparison. A paired bootstrap gives a 95% interval for the gap between any two models.
  • Results for small models, from 90M to 384M parameters, alongside the Udgam Probe Suite.

Quick start

Score any Hugging Face causal language model:

git clone https://github.com/udgamlabs/udgam-evals && cd udgam-evals
pip install -r requirements.txt
python fresh_text/score.py HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M --out results/SmolLM2-135M.json

Or load the documents:

from datasets import load_dataset
ds = load_dataset("udgamlabs/fresh-text-2026-10", split="test")
print(ds[0]["title"], ds[0]["url"])

The metric: bits per byte

The model reads each document one token at a time and gives a probability to the token that actually comes next. The cost of a token is −log₂ of that probability, in bits. Add up the bits over every document and divide by the total number of UTF-8 bytes of text. Lower is better. Because the score is per byte rather than per token, models with different tokenizers are compared fairly.

Settings used for every number on this page: each document is scored on its own; the model's start-of-text (BOS) token comes first when its tokenizer defines one; documents longer than 2,048 tokens are read with a 2,048-token window that slides by 1,024 tokens, so every token is scored exactly once; weights in float32.

Results

Bits per byte, lower is better. Measured on 17 October 2026 on an Apple-silicon Mac (PyTorch, MPS, float32) with the settings above. The runs scored the 1,695 documents of the first build; the numbers below are recomputed from their per-document results for the 1,670 published documents (see How it was made). Re-running fresh_text/score.py on this dataset on 21 October 2026 gave SmolLM2-135M 0.944, the same as the table.

Model Parameters All Wikipedia arXiv
SmolLM2-360M 360M 0.853 0.804 0.923
Gargi-Base (Udgam Labs) 384M 0.916 0.882 0.966
Udgam-384M-Base-4K (Udgam Labs) 384M 0.939 0.898 0.997
SmolLM2-135M 135M 0.944 0.886 1.027
Falcon-H1-Tiny-90M-Base 90M 0.981 0.955 1.017

Every one of the 10 pairwise gaps is significant in a paired bootstrap over documents (95% intervals of ±0.001 to ±0.003 bits per byte). The closest pair is Udgam-384M-Base-4K and SmolLM2-135M: 0.0049 apart, 95% interval [0.0025, 0.0072]. Falcon-H1-Tiny-90M-Base's tokenizer has no BOS token, so it starts without one. Exact model revisions are listed in the GitHub README.

Where it falls short

  • Small and narrow. 1,670 documents in two genres (encyclopedia articles and scientific abstracts), English only. It says nothing about chat, following instructions, code or other languages.
  • New wording, not always new facts. New Wikipedia articles often summarise older sources, and some arXiv abstracts appeared earlier with a conference or journal version. A model can know the facts without having seen this text.
  • Some text may still be machine-written. By 21 October 2026 Wikipedia editors had deleted 11 of the 567 articles we first collected as presumed LLM-written text and one more for another reason, and had tagged 13 others as suspected AI-generated text. We removed all 25. For every model we tested, the 12 deleted articles were 0.12 to 0.14 bits per byte easier to predict than the articles we kept. More such articles may be found later.
  • Freshness wears off. Once published, this text can end up in future training data. It is a fair test only for models whose training data stops before September 2026 (Wikipedia) or October 2026 (arXiv). Check a model's data cut-off before comparing.
  • Settings matter. Context length, the BOS token and numeric precision all move the score. Compare models only under the same settings. Other hardware or bfloat16 may change the third decimal place.
  • arXiv dates cluster at 5, 11 and 15 October, because the crawl took the newest abstracts in three date windows.
  • Measured on small models only. We have scored five models from 90M to 384M parameters and have not checked how the set behaves for much larger ones.

How it was made

  • Wikipedia. We listed every new page in the main article space between 1 September and 15 October 2026 (70,605 creation events). We dropped redirects, re-created pages, pages whose creation note says the text was copied, split, merged, translated or restored, lists, indexes, timelines and disambiguation pages, and kept only pages whose first revision falls in the window. For each page we took the plain-text version of its latest revision on 17 October 2026, kept prose paragraphs (at least 12 words, ending like a sentence, no leftover markup), dropped references and similar sections, and kept articles with at least 300 words of prose, cut at 1,500 words. Pages were sampled evenly across creation days.
  • arXiv. The 10 newest abstracts in each of 75 categories (computer science, mathematics, statistics, physics, quantitative biology, economics, finance and electrical engineering) in each of three date windows, abstracts of 60 to 600 words, sampled evenly across categories.
  • Screening. On 21 October 2026 we checked every Wikipedia page again and removed the 12 deleted since the crawl and the 13 that editors had tagged as suspected AI-generated text.
  • Cleaning. Unicode normalised (NFC), control characters removed, exact duplicates removed. Each document is the title, a blank line, then the body.

The code is fresh_text/build.py; build_summary.json in this repository records the counts and checksums.

Fields

Field Meaning
id wiki:<page id> or arxiv:<arXiv id>
source wikipedia or arxiv
title article or paper title
url permalink to the exact Wikipedia revision used, or the arXiv abstract page
created UTC time the Wikipedia page was created (its first revision) or the arXiv paper was first submitted
licence CC-BY-SA-4.0 or CC0-1.0
attribution a ready-to-use credit line for the row
text title, blank line, body
n_bytes UTF-8 bytes of text (the denominator of bits per byte)
wiki_page_id, wiki_revision_id Wikipedia page and revision ids (empty for arXiv rows)
arxiv_category arXiv primary category (empty for Wikipedia rows)

Intended use

Evaluating pretrained (base) language models whose training data ends before September 2026; comparing architectures and tokenizers on unseen text; tracking a training run on held-out text. Training on it would remove its value as a test.

Refresh plan. We plan to build a new set each month with the same code, named fresh-text-YYYY-MM. This is a plan, not a promise of a schedule.

Licence and attribution

  • Wikipedia rows: CC BY-SA 4.0. The text is by Wikipedia contributors. Each row's attribution names the article, links the exact revision and its page history (the list of authors), and states the changes we made (plain text; references, headings, lists and short lines removed; long articles cut). Keep that credit and the share-alike licence when you reuse the text.
  • arXiv rows: CC0 1.0. Titles and abstracts are arXiv metadata, which arXiv releases under CC0. Each row still links the paper.
  • The dataset as a whole is shared under CC BY-SA 4.0. The code that builds and scores it is Apache-2.0.

Citation

@misc{udgamlabs2026freshtext,
  title        = {Fresh Text, October 2026: new English text for contamination-free bits-per-byte evaluation},
  author       = {Prasad, Jitesh K and {Udgam Labs}},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://huggingface.co/datasets/udgamlabs/fresh-text-2026-10}}
}

Please also credit the Wikipedia contributors and the arXiv authors, as in each row's attribution.


About Udgam Labs. Udgam Labs is an independent AI research lab. We work from first principles: before we build, we understand why things work, whether we are training a model, fine-tuning one or applying AI to a new problem. Udgam (उद्गम) is Sanskrit for origin. udgamlabs.com

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